Sepúlveda J, Willett W, Muñoz A
General Directorate of Epidemiology, Ministry of Health, Mexico.
Am J Epidemiol. 1988 Feb;127(2):365-76. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114810.
To address the hypothesis that malnutrition is associated with an increased risk of diarrhea, the authors identified a cohort of 284 Mexican children less than two years of age in order to equally represent different degrees of nutritional status. Nutritional status, defined anthropometrically, was measured at baseline and every three months for a total follow-up period of one year. The occurrence of diarrhea was assessed by weekly home visits. Among the combinations of weight and length examined, weight for age was the strongest predictor of subsequent diarrhea during a three-month interval. Among normally nourished children, the incidence of diarrhea was 3.3 episodes per year; among those mildly malnourished, 3.7 episodes per year (relative risk (RR) = 1.1); and among the moderately malnourished, 6.0 episodes per year (RR = 1.8). Adjustment for demographic, seasonal, and socioeconomic variables only slightly reduced this association. Nutritional status was most strongly related to the occurrence of two or more episodes during a three-month follow-up interval, and this effect was most clearly seen among children with diarrhea in the preceding interval. In a multiple logistic analysis that included potentially confounding variables as well as an autoregressive term to account for the nonindependence of repeated observations, the relative risk of two or more episodes of diarrhea during an interval was 1.8 (95% confidence interval 1.1-2.9) for moderately malnourished children compared with those who were normally nourished or mildly malnourished. These data lend support to the hypothesis that malnutrition predisposes to the occurrence of diarrhea among young children.
为验证营养不良与腹泻风险增加相关这一假设,作者选取了284名两岁以下的墨西哥儿童组成队列,以便均衡代表不同程度的营养状况。通过人体测量学定义的营养状况在基线时进行测量,并在随后一年的随访期内每三个月测量一次。腹泻的发生情况通过每周家访进行评估。在所检查的体重和身长的各项组合中,年龄别体重是随后三个月期间腹泻最强的预测指标。在营养正常的儿童中,腹泻发生率为每年3.3次;轻度营养不良的儿童中,腹泻发生率为每年3.7次(相对危险度(RR)=1.1);中度营养不良的儿童中,腹泻发生率为每年6.0次(RR = 1.8)。对人口统计学、季节和社会经济变量进行调整后,这种关联仅略有减弱。营养状况与三个月随访期内发生两次或更多次腹泻的关联最为密切,且在前一个期间患有腹泻的儿童中这种效应最为明显。在一项多因素逻辑分析中,纳入了潜在的混杂变量以及一个自回归项以考虑重复观察的非独立性,结果显示,与营养正常或轻度营养不良的儿童相比,中度营养不良儿童在某一期间发生两次或更多次腹泻的相对危险度为1.8(95%置信区间1.1 - 2.9)。这些数据支持了营养不良易导致幼儿发生腹泻这一假设。