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预测 COVID-19 患者的隔离、解除隔离和死亡状态:以韩国为例的一项研究。

On the prediction of isolation, release, and decease states for COVID-19 patients: A case study in South Korea.

机构信息

Computer Science Department, Jamoum University College, Umm Al-Qura University, Jamoum, Saudi Arabia.

Faculty of Computing and Information Technology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

ISA Trans. 2022 May;124:191-196. doi: 10.1016/j.isatra.2020.12.053. Epub 2021 Jan 5.

Abstract

A respiratory syndrome COVID-19 pandemic has become a serious public health issue nowadays. The COVID-19 virus has been affecting tens of millions people worldwide. Some of them have recovered and have been released. Others have been isolated and few others have been unfortunately deceased. In this paper, we apply and compare different machine learning approaches such as decision tree models, random forest, and multinomial logistic regression to predict isolation, release, and decease states for COVID-19 patients in South Korea. The prediction can help health providers and decision makers to distinguish the states of infected patients based on their features in early intervention to take an action either by releasing or isolating the patient after the infection. The proposed approaches are evaluated using Data Science for COVID-19 (DS4C) dataset. An analysis of DS4C dataset is also provided. Experimental results and evaluation show that multinomial logistic regression outperforms other approaches with 95% in a state prediction accuracy and a weighted average F1-score of 95%.

摘要

目前,一种呼吸道综合征 COVID-19 大流行已成为严重的公共卫生问题。COVID-19 病毒已影响到全球数千万人。其中一些人已经康复并已出院。另一些人则被隔离,少数人不幸去世。在本文中,我们应用和比较了不同的机器学习方法,如决策树模型、随机森林和多项逻辑回归,以预测韩国 COVID-19 患者的隔离、释放和死亡状态。这种预测可以帮助卫生提供者和决策者根据患者的特征来区分感染患者的状态,以便在早期干预时采取行动,在感染后释放或隔离患者。所提出的方法使用 COVID-19 数据科学 (DS4C) 数据集进行评估。还提供了对 DS4C 数据集的分析。实验结果和评估表明,多项逻辑回归的状态预测准确率为 95%,加权平均 F1 得分为 95%,优于其他方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cd3a/7785285/5bdd4db3b387/gr1_lrg.jpg

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