Department of Anesthesia Critical Care and Pain Medicine Massachusetts General HospitalHarvard Medical School Boston MA.
Medical Biodynamics Program Brigham and Women's Hospital Boston MA.
J Am Heart Assoc. 2021 Feb 2;10(3):e018483. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.018483. Epub 2021 Jan 19.
Background Spontaneous heart rate fluctuations contain rich information related to health and illness in terms of physiological complexity, an accepted indicator of plasticity and adaptability. However, it is challenging to make inferences on complexity from shorter, more practical epochs of data. Distribution entropy (DistEn) is a recently introduced complexity measure that is designed specifically for shorter duration heartbeat recordings. We hypothesized that reduced DistEn predicted increased mortality in a large population cohort. Method and Results The prognostic value of DistEn was examined in 7631 middle-older-aged UK Biobank participants who had 2-minute resting ECGs conducted (mean age, 59.5 years; 60.4% women). During a median follow-up period of 7.8 years, 451 (5.9%) participants died. In Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for demographics, lifestyle factors, physical activity, cardiovascular risks, and comorbidities, for each 1-SD decrease in DistEn, the risk increased by 36%, 56%, and 73% for all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory disease-related mortality, respectively. These effect sizes were equivalent to the risk of death from being >5 years older, having been a former smoker, or having diabetes mellitus. Lower DistEn was most predictive of death in those <55 years with a prior myocardial infarction, representing an additional 56% risk for mortality compared with older participants without prior myocardial infarction. These observations remained after controlling for traditional mortality predictors, resting heart rate, and heart rate variability. Conclusions Resting heartbeat complexity from short, resting ECGs was independently associated with mortality in middle- to older-aged adults. These risks appear most pronounced in middle-aged participants with prior MI, and may uniquely contribute to mortality risk screening.
自发心率波动包含丰富的与生理复杂性相关的健康和疾病信息,是可塑和适应性的公认指标。然而,要从更短的、更实际的数据时段推断出复杂性是具有挑战性的。分布熵(DistEn)是一种新引入的复杂性度量方法,专门为更短持续时间的心跳记录设计。我们假设在一个大型人群队列中,较低的 DistEn 预测死亡率增加。
在拥有 2 分钟静息心电图的 7631 名英国生物银行中老年参与者中,检查了 DistEn 的预后价值(平均年龄 59.5 岁;60.4%为女性)。在中位随访 7.8 年期间,有 451 名(5.9%)参与者死亡。在调整人口统计学、生活方式因素、身体活动、心血管风险和合并症的 Cox 比例风险模型中,与 DistEn 每降低 1 个标准差相比,全因、心血管和呼吸系统疾病相关死亡率分别增加了 36%、56%和 73%。这些效应大小与因年龄大 5 岁、曾吸烟或患有糖尿病而死亡的风险相当。在有先前心肌梗死的<55 岁人群中,较低的 DistEn 对死亡的预测作用最大,与无先前心肌梗死的较年长参与者相比,死亡率增加了 56%。在控制传统死亡率预测因素、静息心率和心率变异性后,这些观察结果仍然存在。
从中等至老年成年人的短时间、静息心电图中获得的静息心跳复杂性与死亡率独立相关。这些风险在有先前心肌梗死的中年参与者中最为明显,并且可能对死亡率风险筛查有独特贡献。