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冠状病毒(COVID-19):一项评估人口统计学和合并症意义的系统评价与荟萃分析

Coronavirus (COVID-19): A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis to Evaluate the Significance of Demographics and Comorbidities.

作者信息

Bhattacharyya Arinjita, Seth Anand, Srivastava Niharika, Imeokparia Michael, Rai Shesh

机构信息

University of Louisville.

SK Patent Associates, LLC.

出版信息

Res Sq. 2021 Jan 18:rs.3.rs-144684. doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-144684/v1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The unprecedented outbreak of a contagious respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus has led to a pandemic since December 2019, claiming millions of lives. The study systematically reviews and summarizes COVID-19's impact based on symptoms, demographics, comorbidities, and demonstrates the association of demographics in cases and mortality in the United States.

METHODS

PubMed and Google Scholar were searched from December 2019- August 2020, and articles restricted to the English language were collected following PRISMA guidelines. US CDC data was used for establishing statistical significance of age, sex, and race.

RESULTS

Among 3745 patients in China, mean age is 50.63 (95% CI: 36.84, 64.42) years, and 55.7 % (95% CI: 52.2, 59.2) were males. Symptoms included fever 86.5% (82.7, 90.0), fatigue 41.9% (32.7, 51.4), dyspnea 29.0% (21.2, 37.5), cough 66.0% (61.3, 70.6), mucus 66% (61.3, 70.6), lymphopenia 18.9% (5.2, 38.0). Prevalent comorbidities were hypertension 16.4% (12.5, 20.8), diabetes 8.9% (7.0, 11.1), CVD 10.9% (6.1, 16.7), ARDS 14.6% (4.9, 27.8), malignancy 1.5 (0.05, 2.8), 1.3% (0.08, 1.9), COPD 1.3 (0.08, 1.9). 63.5 % (33.5, 88.7) received oxygen therapy, 20.8% (8.9, 35.7) were in ventilation, 23.5% (5.9, 47.8) were at the ICU. 86.5% (76.8, 94) had antiviral, 73.9% (55.3, 89.0) had antibiotics, 30% (20.6, 40.2) corticosteroids treatment.In the US, the odds ratio of infection in males to females is 0.873 (CI: 0.052,14.791), while the odds of dying from infection is 1.378 (CI: 0.081, 23.528) for males. The prevalence of infection is higher in females; case and death rates are higher in whites and Hispanics than other races; the death rate is higher in males irrespective of race and age; death rate per 100,000 population increases monotonically with age.

CONCLUSION

Results showed that metabolic diseases comprising CVD, diabetes, hypertension, and respiratory diseases, including COPD, ARDS, are the most common comorbidities to severe condition and poor prognosis in covid-19 patients. Following the recent FDA's guidance for designing Covid-19 vaccine trials, stratification factors of age, race, sex, and comorbidities need consideration in allocation. This study aimed to provide clinical researchers, health policy planners a detailed insight into the coronavirus disease.

摘要

背景

自2019年12月以来,由新型冠状病毒引起的传染性呼吸道疾病的空前爆发导致了一场大流行,夺走了数百万人的生命。该研究基于症状、人口统计学、合并症系统地回顾和总结了新冠病毒病的影响,并展示了美国病例中的人口统计学与死亡率之间的关联。

方法

在2019年12月至2020年8月期间检索了PubMed和谷歌学术,按照PRISMA指南收集限于英语的文章。美国疾病控制与预防中心的数据用于确定年龄、性别和种族的统计学显著性。

结果

在中国的3745例患者中,平均年龄为50.63岁(95%置信区间:36.84,64.42),男性占55.7%(95%置信区间:52.2,59.2)。症状包括发热86.5%(82.7,90.0)、乏力41.9%(32.7,51.4)、呼吸困难29.0%(21.2,37.5)、咳嗽66.0%(61.3,70.6)、咳痰66%(61.3,70.6)、淋巴细胞减少18.9%(5.2,38.0)。常见的合并症有高血压16.4%((12.5,20.8)、糖尿病8.9%(7.0,11.1)、心血管疾病10.9%(6.1,16.7)、急性呼吸窘迫综合征14.6%(4.9,27.8)、恶性肿瘤1.5%(0.05,2.8)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病1.3%((0.08,1.9)。63.5%(33.5,88.7)接受了氧疗,20.8%(8.9,35.7)接受了机械通气,23.5%(5.9,47.8)入住了重症监护病房。86.5%(76.8,94)接受了抗病毒治疗,73.9%(55.3,89.0)接受了抗生素治疗,3%(20.6,40.2)接受了皮质类固醇治疗。在美国,男性感染的优势比为0.873(置信区间:0.052,14.791),而男性因感染死亡的优势比为1.378(置信区间:0.081,23.528)。女性的感染率更高;白人和西班牙裔的病例率和死亡率高于其他种族;无论种族和年龄,男性的死亡率更高;每10万人口的死亡率随年龄单调增加。

结论

结果表明,包括心血管疾病、糖尿病、高血压在内的代谢性疾病以及包括慢性阻塞性肺疾病、急性呼吸窘迫综合征在内的呼吸道疾病是新冠病毒病患者病情严重和预后不良最常见的合并症。遵循美国食品药品监督管理局最近关于设计新冠病毒疫苗试验的指南,在分配时需要考虑年龄、种族、性别和合并症等分层因素。本研究旨在为临床研究人员、卫生政策规划者提供对冠状病毒病的详细洞察。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dc8d/7814834/848d54efa7c4/nihpp-rs144684v1-f0001.jpg

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