Lewis Felicia M T, Spicknall Ian H, Flagg Elaine W, Papp John R, Kreisel Kristen M
From the Division of STD Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Sex Transm Dis. 2021 Apr 1;48(4):232-237. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001383.
BACKGROUND: Trichomonas vaginalis (TV) is a sexually transmitted parasite associated with multiple adverse outcomes in women. Estimating TV incidence is challenging because of its largely asymptomatic presentation. METHODS: Per-capita prevalence was estimated using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2013 to 2018. Incidence was estimated using ordinary differential equations assuming static incidence at steady state and fit using Bayesian techniques. Model inputs included estimates of proportion of asymptomatic cases, natural clearance, and time to symptomatic treatment seeking. Posterior distributions were drawn, and uncertainty was reported, from 25th (Q1) to 75th (Q3) percentiles. Aggregated measures were estimated by combining component distributions. RESULTS: Among 15- to 59-year-olds in 2018, the number of prevalent TV infections was 2.6 (Q1, 2.4; Q3, 2.7) million overall, 470,000 (Q1, 414,000; Q3, 530,000) among men, and 2.1 (Q1, 2.0; Q3, 2.2) million among women; the numbers of incident infections were 6.9 (Q1, 6.2; Q3, 7.6) million, 3.3 (Q1, 2.8; Q3, 3.8) million, and 3.5 (Q1, 3.1; Q3, 4.0) million among all persons, men, and women, respectively. Persons aged 15 to 24 years comprised 15.6% and 16.3% of all prevalent and incident infections, respectively; prevalence and incidence in both sexes increased with age. Incidences in both sexes were highly dependent on estimates of natural clearance, which were based on few data. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence and incidence of TV are substantial in the United States, particularly among those 25 years or older. Although estimated prevalence is higher in women, estimated incidence is similar in men and women. Data on key parameters of TV infection are limited; future research should focus on clarifying the natural history of TV.
背景:阴道毛滴虫(TV)是一种性传播寄生虫,与女性多种不良后果相关。由于其大多无症状表现,估计TV发病率具有挑战性。 方法:使用2013年至2018年美国国家健康与营养检查调查来估计人均患病率。发病率采用常微分方程估计,假设稳态时发病率不变,并使用贝叶斯技术进行拟合。模型输入包括无症状病例比例、自然清除率以及出现症状后寻求治疗的时间估计值。绘制后验分布,并报告第25百分位数(Q1)至第75百分位数(Q3)的不确定性。通过合并各组成分布来估计汇总指标。 结果:在2018年15至59岁人群中,TV感染的流行病例总数为260万(Q1,240万;Q3,270万),男性为47万(Q1,41.4万;Q3,53万),女性为210万(Q1,200万;Q3,220万);所有人群、男性和女性的新发感染病例数分别为690万(Q1,620万;Q3,760万)、330万(Q1,280万;Q3,380万)和350万(Q1,310万;Q3,400万)。15至24岁人群分别占所有流行和新发感染病例的15.6%和16.3%;男女患病率和发病率均随年龄增长而增加。男女发病率高度依赖于自然清除率的估计值,而该估计值所依据的数据较少。 结论:在美国,TV的患病率和发病率相当高,尤其是在25岁及以上人群中。虽然估计女性患病率较高,但估计男女发病率相似。TV感染关键参数的数据有限;未来研究应聚焦于阐明TV的自然史。
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