State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 18 Shuangqing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100085, China.
Ambio. 2021 Apr;50(4):822-833. doi: 10.1007/s13280-020-01497-4. Epub 2021 Jan 28.
In recent decades, there has been an intensification of the socioeconomic and environmental drivers of pandemics, including ecosystem conversion, meat consumption, urbanization, and connectivity among cities and countries. This paper reviews how these four systemic drivers help explain the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and other recent emerging infectious diseases, and the policies that can be adopted to mitigate their risks. Land-use change and meat consumption increase the likelihood of pathogen spillover from animals to people. The risk that such zoonotic outbreaks will then spread to become pandemics is magnified by growing urban populations and the networks of trade and travel within and among countries. Zoonotic spillover can be mitigated through habitat protection and restrictions on the wildlife trade. Containing infectious disease spread requires a high degree of coordination among institutions across geographic jurisdictions and economic sectors, all backed by international investment and cooperation.
近几十年来,大流行病的社会经济和环境驱动因素不断加剧,包括生态系统转换、肉类消费、城市化以及城市和国家之间的连通性。本文回顾了这四个系统驱动因素如何帮助解释 COVID-19 大流行和其他最近出现的传染病的动态,以及可以采取哪些政策来减轻这些风险。土地利用变化和肉类消费增加了病原体从动物传播给人类的可能性。由于城市人口不断增长以及国家内部和国家之间的贸易和旅行网络,此类人畜共患病暴发然后传播为大流行病的风险也随之增加。通过保护栖息地和限制野生动物贸易,可以减轻人畜共患病的溢出风险。遏制传染病的传播需要各地理管辖区和经济部门的机构之间高度协调,所有这些都需要国际投资和合作的支持。