Angelaki Eleni, Marketou Maria E, Barmparis Georgios D, Patrianakos Alexandros, Vardas Panos E, Parthenakis Fragiskos, Tsironis Giorgos P
Institute of Theoretical and Computational Physics and Department of Physics, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece.
Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich). 2021 May;23(5):935-945. doi: 10.1111/jch.14200. Epub 2021 Jan 28.
Cardiac remodeling is recognized as an important aspect of cardiovascular disease (CVD) progression. Machine learning (ML) techniques were applied to basic clinical parameters and electrocardiographic features, in order to detect abnormal left ventricular geometry (LVG) even before the onset of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), in a population without established CVD. The authors enrolled 528 patients with and without essential hypertension, but no other indications of CVD. All patients underwent a full echocardiographic evaluation and were classified into 3 groups; normal geometry (NG), concentric remodeling without LVH (CR), and LVH. Abnormal LVG was identified as increased relative wall thickness (RWT) and/or left ventricular mass index (LVMi). The authors trained supervised ML models to classify patients with abnormal LVG and calculated SHAP values to perform feature importance and interaction analysis. Hypertension, age, body mass index over the Sokolow-Lyon voltage, QRS-T angle, and QTc duration were some of the most important features. Our model was able to distinguish NG from CR+LVH combined, with 87% accuracy on an unseen test set, 75% specificity, 97% sensitivity, and area under the receiver operating curve (AUC/ROC) equal to 0.91. The authors also trained our model to classify NG and CR (NG + CR) against those with LVH, with 89% test set accuracy, 93% specificity, 67% sensitivity, and an AUC/ROC value of 0.89, for a 0.4 decision threshold. Our ML algorithm effectively detects abnormal LVG even at early stages. Innovative solutions are needed to improve risk stratification of patients without established CVD, and ML may enable progress in this direction.
心脏重塑被认为是心血管疾病(CVD)进展的一个重要方面。机器学习(ML)技术被应用于基本临床参数和心电图特征,以便在无已确诊CVD的人群中,甚至在左心室肥厚(LVH)发作之前检测出异常左心室几何结构(LVG)。作者纳入了528例有和没有原发性高血压但无其他CVD指征的患者。所有患者均接受了完整的超声心动图评估,并被分为3组:正常几何结构(NG)、无LVH的同心性重塑(CR)和LVH。异常LVG被定义为相对壁厚度(RWT)和/或左心室质量指数(LVMi)增加。作者训练了监督ML模型来对有异常LVG的患者进行分类,并计算SHAP值以进行特征重要性和相互作用分析。高血压、年龄、超过索科洛夫-里昂电压的体重指数、QRS-T角和QTc间期是一些最重要的特征。我们的模型能够区分NG与CR + LVH合并组,在一个未见过的测试集上准确率为87%,特异性为75%,敏感性为97%,受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC/ROC)等于0.91。作者还训练我们的模型将NG和CR(NG + CR)与LVH患者进行分类,对于0.4的决策阈值,测试集准确率为89%,特异性为93%,敏感性为67%,AUC/ROC值为0.89。我们的ML算法即使在早期阶段也能有效检测出异常LVG。需要创新的解决方案来改善无已确诊CVD患者的风险分层,而ML可能会在这个方向上取得进展。