UNFPA, New York, NY, United States of America.
Avenir Health, Takoma Park, MD, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2021 Jan 28;16(1):e0244946. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244946. eCollection 2021.
SDG 5.3 targets include eliminating harmful practices such as Female Genital Mutilation (FGM). Limited information is available about levels of investment needed and realistic estimates of potential incidence change. In this work, we estimate the cost and impact of FGM programs in 31 high burden countries.
This analysis combines program data, secondary data analysis, and population-level costing methods to estimate cost and impact of high and moderate scaleup of FGM programs between 2020 and 2030. Cost per person or community reached was multiplied by populations to estimate costs, and regression analysis was used to estimate new incidence rates, which were applied to populations to estimate cases averted.
Reaching the high-coverage targets for 31 countries by 2030 would require an investment of US$ 3.3 billion. This scenario would avert more than 24 million cases of FGM, at an average cost of US$ 134 per case averted. A moderate-coverage scenario would cost US$ 1.6 billion and avert more than 12 million cases of FGM. However, average cost per case averted hides substantial variation based on country dynamics. The most cost-effective investment would be in countries with limited historic change in FGM incidence, with the average cost per case averted between US$ 3 and US$ 90. The next most effective would be those with high approval for FGM, but a preexisting trend downward, where cost per case averted is estimated at around US$ 240.
This analysis shows that although data on FGM is limited, we can draw useful findings from population-level surveys and program data to guide resource mobilization and program planning.
SDG5.3 的目标包括消除女性外阴残割等有害习俗。目前有关所需投资水平和潜在发病率变化的现实估计的信息有限。在这项工作中,我们估计了 31 个高负担国家的外阴残割方案的成本和影响。
本分析结合了项目数据、二次数据分析和人群成本核算方法,以估计 2020 年至 2030 年高规模和中等规模扩大外阴残割方案的成本和影响。将达到的人均或社区成本乘以人口数来估算成本,并使用回归分析来估计新的发病率,将其应用于人口数来估计可预防的病例数。
到 2030 年,要达到 31 个国家的高覆盖率目标,需要投资 33 亿美元。这一方案将避免 2400 多万例女性外阴残割,平均每例避免成本为 134 美元。中规模方案需要投资 16 亿美元,可避免 1200 多万例女性外阴残割。然而,每例避免的平均成本掩盖了基于国家动态的巨大差异。在女性外阴残割发病率变化有限的国家进行最具成本效益的投资,每例避免的平均成本在 3 至 90 美元之间。其次是那些对女性外阴残割有高度认可,但已有下降趋势的国家,每例避免的成本估计在 240 美元左右。
本分析表明,尽管女性外阴残割的数据有限,但我们可以从人群水平调查和项目数据中得出有用的发现,以指导资源调动和方案规划。