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职业性热应激与经济负担:全球证据综述。

Occupational heat stress and economic burden: A review of global evidence.

机构信息

School of Public Health, University of Adelaide, 57 North Terrace, Adelaide, SA, 5000, Australia.

Northern Institute, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT, 0909, Australia.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2021 Apr;195:110781. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.110781. Epub 2021 Jan 29.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The adverse effects of heat on workers' health and work productivity are well documented. However, the resultant economic consequences and productivity loss are less understood. This review aims to summarize the retrospective and potential future economic burden of workplace heat exposure in the context of climate change.

METHODS

Literature was searched from database inception to October 2020 using Embase, PubMed, and Scopus. Articles were limited to original human studies investigating costs from occupational heat stress in English.

RESULTS

Twenty studies met criteria for inclusion. Eighteen studies estimated costs secondary to heat-induced labor productivity loss. Predicted global costs from lost worktime, in US$, were 280 billion in 1995, 311 billion in 2010 (≈0.5% of GDP), 2.4-2.5 trillion in 2030 (>1% of GDP) and up to 4.0% of GDP by 2100. Three studies estimated heat-related healthcare expenses from occupational injuries with averaged annual costs (US$) exceeding 1 million in Spain, 1 million in Guangzhou, China and 250,000 in Adelaide, Australia. Low- and middle-income countries and countries with warmer climates had greater losses as a proportion of GDP. Greater costs per worker were observed in outdoor industries, medium-sized businesses, amongst males, and workers aged 25-44 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The estimated global economic burden of occupational heat stress is substantial. Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies should be implemented to likely minimize future costs. Further research exploring the relationship between occupational heat stress and related expenses from lost productivity, decreased work efficiency and healthcare, and costs stratified by demographic factors, is warranted. Key messages. The estimated retrospective and future economic burden from occupational heat stress is large. Responding to climate change is crucial to minimize this burden. Analyzing heat-attributable occupational costs may guide the development of workplace heat management policies and practices as part of global warming strategies.

摘要

背景

热对工人健康和工作效率的不利影响已有充分记录。然而,由此产生的经济后果和生产力损失则知之甚少。本综述旨在总结气候变化背景下职业性热暴露的回顾性和潜在未来经济负担。

方法

使用 Embase、PubMed 和 Scopus 从数据库建立之初到 2020 年 10 月搜索文献。文章仅限于以英语调查职业性热应激所致成本的原始人类研究。

结果

符合纳入标准的研究有 20 项。18 项研究估计了因热引起的劳动力生产力损失而导致的成本。以美元计,1995 年因失去工作时间而导致的全球预测成本为 2800 亿美元,2010 年为 3110 亿美元(约占 GDP 的 0.5%),2030 年为 2.4-2.5 万亿美元(占 GDP 的 1%以上),到 2100 年,这一比例将高达 GDP 的 4.0%。三项研究估计了与职业性伤害相关的与热有关的医疗保健费用,其中西班牙每年的平均费用(美元)超过 100 万,中国广州每年的平均费用超过 100 万,澳大利亚阿德莱德每年的平均费用为 25 万。低中等收入国家和气候较暖的国家的损失占 GDP 的比例更大。在户外行业、中等规模的企业、男性以及 25-44 岁的工人中,每个工人的成本更高。

结论

职业性热应激的全球经济负担估计很高。应实施气候变化适应和缓解战略,以尽量减少未来的成本。需要进一步研究探索职业性热应激与生产力下降、工作效率降低以及医疗保健相关的费用之间的关系,以及按人口统计因素划分的费用。

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