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江苏省 COVID-19 聚集性感染的流行病学特征及影响因素。

Epidemiologic characteristics and influencing factors of cluster infection of COVID-19 in Jiangsu Province.

机构信息

Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China.

Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2021 Feb 10;149:e48. doi: 10.1017/S0950268821000327.

DOI:10.1017/S0950268821000327
PMID:33563364
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7900655/
Abstract

To understand the characteristics and influencing factors related to cluster infections in Jiangsu Province, China, we investigated case reports to explore transmission dynamics and influencing factors of scales of cluster infection. The effectiveness of interventions was assessed by changes in the time-dependent reproductive number (Rt). From 25th January to 29th February, Jiangsu Province reported a total of 134 clusters involving 617 cases. Household clusters accounted for 79.85% of the total. The time interval from onset to report of index cases was 8 days, which was longer than that of secondary cases (4 days) (χ2 = 22.763, P < 0.001) and had a relationship with the number of secondary cases (the correlation coefficient (r) = 0.193, P = 0.040). The average interval from onset to report was different between family cluster cases (4 days) and community cluster cases (7 days) (χ2 = 28.072, P < 0.001). The average time interval from onset to isolation of patients with secondary infection (5 days) was longer than that of patients without secondary infection (3 days) (F = 9.761, P = 0.002). Asymptomatic patients and non-familial clusters had impacts on the size of the clusters. The average reduction in the Rt value in family clusters (26.00%, 0.26 ± 0.22) was lower than that in other clusters (37.00%, 0.37 ± 0.26) (F = 4.400, P = 0.039). Early detection of asymptomatic patients and early reports of non-family clusters can effectively weaken cluster infections.

摘要

为了解中国江苏省聚集性感染的特征和影响因素,我们调查了病例报告,以探索传播动力学和聚集性感染规模的影响因素。通过时变繁殖数(Rt)的变化来评估干预措施的效果。1 月 25 日至 2 月 29 日,江苏省共报告聚集性疫情 134 起,涉及 617 例病例。家庭聚集性疫情占总数的 79.85%。首例病例的发病至报告时间间隔为 8 天,长于二代病例(4 天)(χ2=22.763,P<0.001),且与二代病例数量有关(相关系数(r)=0.193,P=0.040)。家庭聚集性病例(4 天)和社区聚集性病例(7 天)的平均发病至报告时间间隔不同(χ2=28.072,P<0.001)。二代感染患者的平均发病至隔离时间(5 天)长于无二代感染患者(3 天)(F=9.761,P=0.002)。无症状患者和非家庭聚集性对聚集性的规模有影响。家庭聚集性(26.00%,0.26±0.22)的 Rt 值平均降低率低于其他聚集性(37.00%,0.37±0.26)(F=4.400,P=0.039)。早期发现无症状患者和早期报告非家庭聚集性可以有效削弱聚集性感染。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e727/7900655/d3a8a5d2405d/S0950268821000327_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e727/7900655/0faeae221c7e/S0950268821000327_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e727/7900655/d3a8a5d2405d/S0950268821000327_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e727/7900655/0faeae221c7e/S0950268821000327_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e727/7900655/d3a8a5d2405d/S0950268821000327_fig2.jpg

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