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休斯顿德克萨斯州 2019 年冠状病毒病 2 号大流行第一波和第二波期间成人严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2 的病毒载量:超级传播者的潜力。

Viral Load of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 in Adults During the First and Second Wave of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic in Houston, Texas: The Potential of the Superspreader.

机构信息

Department of Molecular Virology and Microbiology, Houston, Texas, USA.

Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.

出版信息

J Infect Dis. 2021 May 20;223(9):1528-1537. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiab097.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, a minority of index cases are associated with a majority of secondary cases suggesting that superspreaders could drive the pandemic. We identified a phenotype in individuals with extremely high viral load who could act as superspreaders.

METHODS

Data were analyzed from individuals tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from 18 March through 15 August 2020. Outcomes were compared using contingency table and quantile regression to test the equality of medians between the pandemic waves and by viral load groups.

RESULTS

Of the 11 564 samples tested, 1319 (11.4%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2. An increase in weekly median viral load occurred in the second wave of the SARS-CoV2 pandemic. This population was more likely to be women, outpatients, and symptomatic and to have an extremely high or high viral load. In patients with multiple reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction-positive test results, the durations of viral shedding were comparable between individuals with asymptomatic/mild and mild/moderate illness severity.

CONCLUSIONS

We detected a small group of individuals with extremely high SARS-CoV-2 viral loads and mild illness. We believe that these individuals' characteristics could be consistent with the superspreader phenomenon and that greater awareness of the social dynamics of these individuals is needed to understand the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

摘要

背景

在 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行期间,少数指数病例与多数继发病例相关,提示超级传播者可能推动了疫情的传播。我们发现了一种表型,即具有极高病毒载量的个体可能成为超级传播者。

方法

对 2020 年 3 月 18 日至 8 月 15 日期间检测出严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)的个体进行数据分析。使用列联表和分位数回归来比较结果,以检验大流行波之间和病毒载量组之间中位数的平等性。

结果

在检测的 11564 个样本中,有 1319 个(11.4%)SARS-CoV-2 检测呈阳性。SARS-CoV-2 大流行的第二波中每周的中位病毒载量增加。这群人更可能是女性、门诊病人、有症状,且病毒载量极高或高。在多个逆转录聚合酶链反应阳性检测结果的患者中,无症状/轻度和轻度/中度疾病严重程度的个体之间的病毒脱落持续时间相当。

结论

我们发现了一小部分具有极高 SARS-CoV-2 病毒载量和轻度疾病的个体。我们认为这些个体的特征可能与超级传播者现象一致,需要更多地了解这些个体的社会动态,以了解 SARS-CoV-2 的传播。

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