Emanuella Gomes Maia is with the Department of Health Sciences, State University of Santa Cruz, Ilhéus (BA), and the Nursing Postgraduate Program, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte (MG), Brazil. Sheila Rizzato Stopa and Roberta de Oliveira Santos are with the Department of Health Analysis and Surveillance of Noncommunicable Diseases, Ministry of Health, Brasília (DF), Brazil. Rafael Moreira Claro is with the Department of Nutrition, Federal University of Minas Gerais.
Am J Public Health. 2021 Apr;111(4):730-738. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2020.306102. Epub 2021 Feb 18.
To analyze trends in cigarette smoking among Brazilian adults from 2006 to 2019. We performed a time-series analysis based on data from the Surveillance of Risk and Protective Factors for Chronic Diseases Telephone Survey (n = 730 309). We calculated the annual prevalence of current cigarette smokers, heavy smokers, and passive smokers in the workplace and investigated linear trends using Prais-Winsten regression, for the entire period and for the past 5 years. We performed the analyses for the total population and according to the sociodemographic characteristics. The prevalence of cigarette smoking, heavy smoking, and passive smoking in the workplace declined, respectively, an average of 3.99% per year, 5.65% per year, and 6.55% per year from 2006 to 2019. We observed this reduction regardless of gender, age, educational level, and geographic region. The magnitude of reduction in the prevalence of current cigarette smoking decreased in the past 5 years, while the magnitude of the change in heavy smoking increased. The prevalence of cigarette smoking decreased in the time period studied. The smaller magnitude of reduction for current cigarette smoking in the most recent years might indicate a fatigue with the current policy scenario.
分析 2006 年至 2019 年巴西成年人吸烟趋势。我们基于慢性病风险和保护因素监测电话调查的数据(n=730309)进行了时间序列分析。我们计算了当前吸烟者、重度吸烟者和工作场所被动吸烟者的年流行率,并使用 Prais-Winsten 回归调查了整个时期和过去 5 年的线性趋势。我们对总人口和根据社会人口特征进行了分析。2006 年至 2019 年,吸烟、重度吸烟和工作场所被动吸烟的流行率分别平均每年下降 3.99%、5.65%和 6.55%。我们观察到这种下降与性别、年龄、教育程度和地理区域无关。过去 5 年来,当前吸烟流行率下降的幅度减小,而重度吸烟变化的幅度增大。在研究期间,吸烟流行率下降。最近几年,当前吸烟率下降幅度较小,这可能表明对当前政策环境感到厌倦。