School of Humanities, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, China.
Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jul 1;776:145837. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145837. Epub 2021 Feb 14.
Agricultural ecological environment conservation is a major strategic mission for the sustainable development of China's agriculture and rural areas at present. Therefore, it is of great significance to examine the coupling and coordination relationship between new urbanization and the agro-ecological environment, and, accordingly, to establish China's sustainable agro-economic development model. However, this topic has not been adequately addressed in previous studies. To fill this gap, this study detailed an empirical investigation into the spatio-temporal differentiation of and influencing factors on the coupling and coordinated development of new urbanization and the agricultural ecological environment in China. First, aided by spatial analysis methods, a detailed analysis of the spatio-temporal patterns and dynamics of the coupling and coordinated development of new urbanization and the agro-ecological environment was conducted. The driving factors were quantitatively examined using the random panel Tobit model and the panel data modeling technique. The results indicate that the coupling degree between China's new urbanization and the agro-ecological environment ranges from 0.30 to 0.50, which is in the antagonistic stage. The degree of coupling and coordination is between 0.39 and 0.59, basically on the verge of imbalance and reluctant coordination. Most provinces lag behind in new urbanization. Panel data analysis demonstrates financial support for agriculture, rural economic development, environmental pollution control capabilities, and government capabilities significantly impacting the degree of coupling and coordination between China's new urbanization and the agro-ecological environment. Among them, financial support for agriculture and industrialization has different effects on the degree of coupling and coordination between the eastern and midwestern regions. Based on the findings of this study, a series of policy suggestions for improving China's new urbanization and agro-ecological environment is proposed.
农业生态环境保护是当前中国农业农村可持续发展的重大战略任务。因此，考察新型城镇化与农业生态环境的耦合协调关系，建立中国可持续的农业经济发展模式具有重要意义。然而，这一主题在以往的研究中并未得到充分关注。为了填补这一空白，本研究详细考察了中国新型城镇化与农业生态环境耦合协调发展的时空分异及其影响因素。首先，借助空间分析方法，详细分析了新型城镇化与农业生态环境耦合协调发展的时空格局和动态变化。利用随机面板 Tobit 模型和面板数据建模技术，定量考察了驱动因素。结果表明，中国新型城镇化与农业生态环境的耦合度在 0.30 到 0.50 之间，处于拮抗阶段。耦合协调度在 0.39 到 0.59 之间，基本处于不平衡和勉强协调的状态。大多数省份的新型城镇化滞后。面板数据分析表明，农业财政支持、农村经济发展、环境污染治理能力和政府能力显著影响中国新型城镇化与农业生态环境的耦合协调度。其中，农业财政支持对东、中、西部地区的耦合协调度具有不同的影响。基于本研究的结果，提出了一系列改善中国新型城镇化和农业生态环境的政策建议。
