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中国陕西省 COVID-19 患者的动态接触网络分析。

Analysis of dynamic contact network of patients with COVID-19 in Shaanxi Province of China.

机构信息

School of Humanities and Social Science, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xianning West Road, Mailbox 200, Xi'an, 710049, China.

Institute for Empirical Social Science Research, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Mar 1;11(1):4889. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-84428-x.

Abstract

The spread of COVID-19 is closely related to the structure of human social networks. Based on 237 cases, by using epidemiological retrospective statistics, data visualization, and social network analysis methods, this paper summarized characteristics of patients with COVID-19 in Shaanxi, China, and analyzed these patients' dynamic contact network structure. The study found that there are many clustered infections through strong ties, about one-third of cases are caused by relatives' infection. In early stages of the epidemic, imported cases were the most, and in the later stages, local infection cases were the most. The infected people were mostly middle-aged men. Symptoms of imported cases occurred on average of 3 days after they arrived, and medical measures were taken 5 days later on average. All cases showed symptoms in less than 2 days on average and were then taken to medical treatment. The contact network can be divided into multiple disconnected components. The largest component has 12 patients. The average degree centrality in the network is 0.987, average betweenness degree is 0, average closeness degree is 0.452, and average PageRank index is 0.0042. The number of contacts of patients is unevenly distributed in the network.

摘要

COVID-19 的传播与人类社交网络的结构密切相关。本研究基于 237 例病例,运用流行病学回顾性统计、数据可视化和社交网络分析方法,总结了中国陕西 COVID-19 患者的特征,并分析了这些患者的动态接触网络结构。研究发现,通过强关系存在许多聚集性感染,约三分之一的病例是由亲属感染引起的。在疫情早期,输入性病例最多,而在后期,本地感染病例最多。受感染的人大多是中年男性。输入性病例的症状平均在到达后 3 天出现,平均 5 天后采取医疗措施。所有病例的平均症状出现时间均少于 2 天,随后接受治疗。接触网络可以分为多个不连通的组件。最大的组件有 12 个患者。网络的平均中心度为 0.987,平均介数为 0,平均接近度为 0.452,平均 PageRank 指数为 0.0042。患者的接触人数在网络中分布不均匀。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0d2c/7921424/1103d4d13459/41598_2021_84428_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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