School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China.
World Health Organization Collaborating Center on Tobacco and Economics, Beijing 100029, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 12;18(4):1801. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18041801.
With the economic development of various countries and the deepening of population aging, health plays an increasingly important role in the macro-economy. How to meet the growing health needs as well as promote the economy has captured the attention of the world. Therefore, whether health investment can promote economic growth is an important theoretical and practical issue. An extended Mankiw-Romer-Weil model (MRW) with human health capital and population aging is employed to examine the impact on economic growth from population aging and health investment. On the basis of the theoretical model, this paper uses the LSDV and TSLS methods to carry out an empirical study based on cross-country panel data during the period 2000-2016. The empirical results show that health investment plays a significant role in promoting economic growth, and there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between population aging and economic growth. The impacts on economic growth from health investment and population aging can weaken each other. In addition, this paper also finds that health investment structure and the proportion of government health investment to total government spending can affect economic growth.
随着各国经济的发展和人口老龄化的加深,健康在宏观经济中的作用日益重要。如何满足不断增长的健康需求,同时促进经济增长,引起了世界的关注。因此,健康投资是否能促进经济增长是一个重要的理论和实践问题。本文运用包含健康人力资本和人口老龄化的扩展曼昆-罗默-魏尔模型(MRW),研究人口老龄化和健康投资对经济增长的影响。在理论模型的基础上,本文利用 LSDV 和 TSLS 方法,基于 2000-2016 年的跨国面板数据进行实证研究。实证结果表明,健康投资对经济增长有显著的促进作用,人口老龄化与经济增长之间存在倒 U 型关系。健康投资和人口老龄化对经济增长的影响可以相互削弱。此外,本文还发现健康投资结构和政府卫生支出占政府总支出的比例会影响经济增长。