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术前淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值作为心脏手术患者长期死亡率的预后预测指标:一项倾向评分匹配分析

Preoperative Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Predictor of Long-Term Mortality in Cardiac Surgery Patients: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis.

作者信息

Zhou Zhuoming, Liang Mengya, Wu Huawei, Huang Suiqing, Weng Rennan, Hou Jian, Wu Zhongkai

机构信息

Department of Cardiac Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.

NHC Key Laboratory of Assisted Circulation, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2021 Feb 22;8:639890. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.639890. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

To evaluate the prognostic value of the preoperative lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in patients who underwent cardiac surgery. Clinical data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. The optimal cutoff value of LMR was determined by X-tile software. The Cox proportional hazard model was applied for the identification of independent prognostic factors of 4-year mortality and survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. In order to balance the influence of potential confounding factors, a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) method was performed. A total of 1,701 patients were included. The X-tile software indicated that the optimal cutoff value of the LMR for 4-year mortality was 3.58. After PSM, 489 pairs of score-matched patients were generated. The Cox proportional hazard model showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significantly higher 4-year mortality than patients with an LMR ≥ 3.58 in the entire cohort (HR = 1.925, 95%CI: 1.509-2.456, < 0.001) and the PSM subset (HR = 1.568, 95%CI: 1.2-2.05, = 0.001). The survival curves showed that patients with an LMR < 3.58 had a significant lower 4-year survival rate in the entire cohort (71.7 vs. 88.5%, < 0.001) and the PSM subset (73.2 vs. 81.4%, = 0.002). A lower LMR (<3.58) was associated with a higher risk of 4-year mortality and can serve as a prognostic predictor of the long-term mortality in cardiac surgery patients.

摘要

评估术前淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)对接受心脏手术患者的预后价值。临床数据从重症监护医学信息集市III(MIMIC-III)数据库中提取。LMR的最佳截断值由X-tile软件确定。应用Cox比例风险模型识别4年死亡率的独立预后因素,并使用Kaplan-Meier方法估计生存曲线。为平衡潜在混杂因素的影响,采用1:1倾向评分匹配(PSM)方法。共纳入1701例患者。X-tile软件显示,4年死亡率的LMR最佳截断值为3.58。PSM后,生成了489对评分匹配的患者。Cox比例风险模型显示,在整个队列(HR = 1.925,95%CI:1.509 - 2.456,P < 0.001)和PSM亚组(HR = 1.568,95%CI:1.2 - 2.05,P = 0.001)中,LMR < 3.58的患者4年死亡率显著高于LMR≥3.58的患者。生存曲线显示,在整个队列(71.7%对88.5%,P < 0.001)和PSM亚组(73.2%对81.4%,P = 0.002)中,LMR < 3.58的患者4年生存率显著较低。较低的LMR(<3.58)与4年死亡风险较高相关,可作为心脏手术患者长期死亡率的预后预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9784/7937643/8978761bf385/fcvm-08-639890-g0001.jpg

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