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英国早期 COVID-19 病例的流行病学和临床特征。

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of early COVID-19 cases, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

机构信息

Public Health England, 61 Colindale Avenue, London, NW9 5EQ, England.

Public Health England, Liverpool, England.

出版信息

Bull World Health Organ. 2021 Mar 1;99(3):178-189. doi: 10.2471/BLT.20.265603. Epub 2020 Nov 30.

DOI:10.2471/BLT.20.265603
PMID:33716340
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7941108/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To describe the clinical presentation, course of disease and health-care seeking behaviour of the first few hundred cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

METHODS

We implemented the World Health Organization's First Few X cases and contacts investigation protocol for COVID-19. Trained public health professionals collected information on 381 virologically confirmed COVID-19 cases from 31 January 2020 to 9 April 2020. We actively followed up cases to identify exposure to infection, symptoms and outcomes. We also collected limited data on 752 symptomatic people testing negative for COVID-19, as a control group for analyses of the sensitivity, specificity and predictive value of symptoms.

FINDINGS

Approximately half of the COVID-19 cases were imported (196 cases; 51.4%), of whom the majority had recent travel to Italy (140 cases; 71.4%). Of the 94 (24.7%) secondary cases, almost all reported close contact with a confirmed case (93 cases; 98.9%), many through household contact (37 cases; 39.8%). By age, a lower proportion of children had COVID-19. Most cases presented with cough, fever and fatigue. The sensitivity and specificity of symptoms varied by age, with nonlinear relationships with age. Although the proportion of COVID-19 cases with fever increased with age, for those with other respiratory infections the occurrence of fever decreased with age. The occurrence of shortness of breath also increased with age in a greater proportion of COVID-19 cases.

CONCLUSION

The study has provided useful evidence for generating case definitions and has informed modelling studies of the likely burden of COVID-19.

摘要

目的

描述英国首批数百例 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例的临床表现、病程和就医行为。

方法

我们实施了世界卫生组织针对 COVID-19 的首批数例病例和接触者调查方案。经过培训的公共卫生专业人员从 2020 年 1 月 31 日至 2020 年 4 月 9 日期间收集了 381 例经病毒学确诊的 COVID-19 病例的信息。我们积极对病例进行随访,以确定感染暴露、症状和结局。我们还对 752 例症状检测为 COVID-19 阴性的症状性人群收集了有限的数据,作为对症状的敏感性、特异性和预测值进行分析的对照组。

结果

大约一半的 COVID-19 病例为输入性病例(196 例;51.4%),其中大多数有近期意大利旅行史(140 例;71.4%)。在 94 例(24.7%)继发性病例中,几乎所有病例都报告与确诊病例有密切接触(93 例;98.9%),许多是通过家庭接触(37 例;39.8%)。按年龄来看,儿童的 COVID-19 比例较低。大多数病例表现为咳嗽、发热和乏力。症状的敏感性和特异性因年龄而异,与年龄呈非线性关系。尽管 COVID-19 病例发热的比例随年龄增加而增加,但对于其他呼吸道感染,发热的发生率随年龄降低。呼吸急促的发生也随 COVID-19 病例年龄的增加而增加。

结论

本研究为制定病例定义提供了有用的证据,并为 COVID-19 可能负担的建模研究提供了信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3cb1/7941108/0b07a65c8e8a/BLT.20.265603-F5.jpg
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