Am J Epidemiol. 2021 Oct 1;190(10):1972-1976. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwab061.
Context-specific evidence evaluation is advocated in modern epidemiology to support public health policy decisions, avoiding excessive reliance on experimental study designs. Here we present the rationale for a paradigm shift in evaluation of the evidence derived from independent studies, as well as systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies, applying Hill's criteria (including coherence, plausibility, temporality, consistency, magnitude of effect, and dose-response) to evaluate food fortification as an effective public health intervention against folic acid-preventable (FAP) spina bifida and anencephaly (SBA). A critical appraisal of evidence published between 1983 and 2020 supports the conclusion that food fortification with folic acid prevents FAP SBA. Policy-makers should be confident that with mandatory legislation, effective implementation, and periodic evaluation, food fortification assures that women of reproductive age will safely receive daily folic acid to significantly reduce the risk of FAP SBA. Current evidence should suffice to generate the political will to implement programs that will save thousands of lives each year in over 100 countries.
提倡在现代流行病学中进行具体情况具体分析的证据评估,以支持公共卫生政策决策,避免过度依赖实验研究设计。在这里,我们提出了从独立研究、系统评价和观察性研究荟萃分析中评估证据的范式转变的基本原理,应用希尔标准(包括一致性、合理性、时间性、一致性、效应大小和剂量反应)来评估食物强化作为一种有效的公共卫生干预措施,以预防叶酸可预防的(FAP)脊柱裂和无脑畸形(SBA)。对 1983 年至 2020 年期间发表的证据进行的批判性评估支持这样的结论,即食物强化叶酸可预防 FAP SBA。政策制定者应该有信心,通过强制性立法、有效实施和定期评估,食物强化可以确保育龄妇女安全地每天摄入叶酸,从而显著降低 FAP SBA 的风险。目前的证据足以产生实施这些项目的政治意愿,这些项目每年将在 100 多个国家挽救数千人的生命。