Bragard Claude, Dehnen-Schmutz Katharina, Di Serio Francesco, Gonthier Paolo, Jacques Marie-Agnès, Jaques Miret Josep Anton, Justesen Annemarie Fejer, MacLeod Alan, Magnusson Christer Sven, Navas-Cortes Juan A, Parnell Stephen, Potting Roel, Reignault Philippe Lucien, Thulke Hans-Hermann, Van der Werf Wopke, Vicent Civera Antonio, Yuen Jonathan, Zappalà Lucia, Lucchi Andrea, Tena Alejandro, Mosbach-Schulz Olaf, de la Peña Eduardo, Milonas Panagiotis
EFSA J. 2021 Mar 17;19(3):e06427. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2021.6427. eCollection 2021 Mar.
The European Commission requested EFSA Panel on Plant Health to evaluate a dossier from Israel in which the application of the systems approach to mitigate the risk of entry of to the EU when trading citrus fruits is described. After collecting additional evidence from the Plant Protection and Inspection Services (PPIS) of Israel, and reviewing the published literature, the Panel performed an assessment on the likelihood of pest freedom for on citrus fruits at the point of entry in the EU considering the Israelian systems approach. An expert judgement is given on the likelihood of pest freedom following the evaluation of the risk mitigation measures on , including any uncertainties. The Expert Knowledge Elicitation indicated, with 95% certainty that between 9,863 and 10,000 citrus fruits per 10,000 will be free from this pest. The Panel also evaluated each risk mitigation measure in the systems approach and identified any weaknesses associated with them. Specific actions are identified that could increase the efficacy of the systems approach.
欧盟委员会要求欧洲食品安全局植物健康小组评估一份来自以色列的档案，其中描述了采用系统方法降低柑橘类水果贸易时进入欧盟的风险。在从以色列植物保护和检查局（PPIS）收集了更多证据并查阅了已发表的文献后，小组根据以色列的系统方法，对欧盟入境点的柑橘类水果上无该有害生物的可能性进行了评估。在评估了针对该有害生物的风险缓解措施（包括任何不确定性）后，给出了关于无有害生物可能性的专家判断。专家知识 elicitation 表明，有 95%的把握确定每 10000 个柑橘类水果中有 9863 至 10000 个将无此有害生物。小组还评估了系统方法中的每项风险缓解措施，并确定了与之相关的任何弱点。确定了可以提高系统方法有效性的具体行动。 （注：“elicitation”这个词在这里可能有误，不太明确准确意思，暂保留原文翻译）
