Deloitte, Canberra, Australia.
Deloitte, Victoria, Australia.
Eur J Health Econ. 2021 Jun;22(4):505-518. doi: 10.1007/s10198-020-01256-y. Epub 2021 Mar 22.
Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) - a progressive subset of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) - is a chronic liver disease that can progress to advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis, and end-stage liver disease (ESLD) if left untreated. Early-stage NASH is usually asymptomatic, meaning a large proportion of the prevalent population are undiagnosed. Receiving a NASH diagnosis increases the probability that a patient will receive interventions for the purpose of managing their condition. The purpose of this study was to estimate the disease burden and economic impact of diagnosed NASH in the United Kingdom (UK) adult population in 2018.
The socioeconomic burden of diagnosed NASH from a societal perspective was estimated using cost-of-illness methodology applying a prevalence approach. This involved estimating the number of adults with diagnosed NASH in the UK in a base period (2018) and the economic and wellbeing costs attributable to diagnosed NASH in that period. The analysis was based on a targeted review of the scientific literature, existing databases and consultation with clinical experts, health economists and patient groups.
Of the prevalent NASH population in the UK in 2018, an estimated 79.8% were not diagnosed. In particular, of the prevalent population in disease stages F0 to F2, only 2.0% (F0), 2.0% (F1) and 16.5% (F2), respectively, were diagnosed. Total economic costs of diagnosed NASH in the UK ranged from £2.3 billion (lower prevalence scenario, base probability of diagnosis scenario) to £4.2 billion (higher prevalence scenario, base probability of diagnosis scenario). In 2018, people with NASH in the UK were estimated to experience 94,094 to 174,564 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) overall. Total wellbeing costs associated with NASH in 2018 were estimated to range between £5.6 to £10.5 billion.
The prevention and appropriate management of adult NASH patients could result in reduced economic costs and improvements in wellbeing.
非酒精性脂肪性肝炎(NASH)——非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)的一种进展性亚型——是一种慢性肝病,如果不治疗,可能会发展为晚期纤维化、肝硬化和终末期肝病(ESLD)。早期 NASH 通常无症状,这意味着很大一部分流行人群未被诊断。诊断出 NASH 会增加患者接受干预以控制病情的可能性。本研究旨在估计 2018 年英国(UK)成年人群中确诊 NASH 的疾病负担和经济影响。
从社会角度出发,采用疾病成本法,通过患病率法来评估确诊 NASH 的社会经济负担。这包括估算英国在基准期(2018 年)内患有确诊 NASH 的成年人数量,以及该时期内与确诊 NASH 相关的经济和健康福利成本。分析基于对科学文献、现有数据库的针对性审查以及与临床专家、卫生经济学家和患者群体的磋商。
在 2018 年英国的流行 NASH 人群中,估计有 79.8%未被诊断。特别是在疾病阶段 F0 至 F2 的流行人群中,分别只有 2.0%(F0)、2.0%(F1)和 16.5%(F2)被诊断出患有 NASH。在英国,确诊 NASH 的总经济成本范围从 23 亿英镑(较低的患病率情景,基础诊断概率情景)到 42 亿英镑(较高的患病率情景,基础诊断概率情景)。2018 年,英国 NASH 患者估计总共经历了 94094 至 174564 个伤残调整生命年(DALY)。2018 年与 NASH 相关的总健康福利成本估计在 56 亿至 105 亿英镑之间。
预防和适当管理成年 NASH 患者可降低经济成本并改善健康福利。