Yang Xiaorong, Chen Hui, Man Jinyu, Zhang Tongchao, Yin Xiaolin, He Qiufeng, Lu Ming
Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Clinical Research Center of Shandong University, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China.
J Cancer. 2021 Feb 22;12(8):2326-2335. doi: 10.7150/jca.52186. eCollection 2021.
Various studies have indicated that the prognosis of leukemia has been improved in recent years, but the secular trends of incidence and long-term survival of all leukemia have not been thoroughly examined. We estimated the leukemia incidence and 5-year survival rate along with the temporal trends by sex, race, age, and subtype in the United States over the past four decades using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The overall incidence of leukemia steadily increased from 12.39/100 000 in 1975 to 14.65/100 000 in 2011, and then began to decline in recent years (13.73/100 000 in 2017), with average annual percent changes (APC) of 0.350 (<0.001). The 5-year relative survival rate of leukemia patients significantly improved from 33.2% in 1975 to 66.1% in 2012 (APC=1.980, <0.001). The main subtypes of leukemia, including acute lymphoblastic leukemia, acute myeloid leukemia, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, and chronic myeloid leukemia, increased in most age groups; conversely, the incidences of all other subtypes were gradually declined during the monitoring period. The incremental advancement in leukemia prognosis had been achieved in almost all histological subtypes, especially among young patients. Based on SEER data, the leukemia incidence increased gradually over the past decades, and then began to decline in recent years in the United States. The 5-year relative survival rate increased incrementally over time, especially among young patients. However, the huge disparities among different sexes, races, histological subtypes, and age groups, emphasize that precise causes control and innovative treatments need to be developed to reduce the incidence and improve the prognosis, especially among specific populations.
多项研究表明,近年来白血病的预后有所改善,但所有白血病的发病率和长期生存率的长期趋势尚未得到全面研究。我们使用监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库估计了过去四十年来美国白血病的发病率和5年生存率以及按性别、种族、年龄和亚型划分的时间趋势。白血病的总体发病率从1975年的12.39/10万稳步上升至2011年的14.65/10万,随后近年来开始下降(2017年为13.73/10万),年均变化百分比(APC)为0.350(<0.001)。白血病患者的5年相对生存率从1975年的33.2%显著提高到2012年的66.1%(APC = 1.980,<0.001)。白血病的主要亚型,包括急性淋巴细胞白血病、急性髓系白血病、慢性淋巴细胞白血病和慢性髓系白血病,在大多数年龄组中都有所增加;相反,所有其他亚型的发病率在监测期间逐渐下降。几乎所有组织学亚型的白血病预后都有逐步改善,尤其是在年轻患者中。基于SEER数据,美国白血病发病率在过去几十年中逐渐上升,近年来开始下降。5年相对生存率随时间逐渐提高,尤其是在年轻患者中。然而,不同性别、种族、组织学亚型和年龄组之间存在巨大差异,这强调需要制定精确的病因控制和创新治疗方法,以降低发病率并改善预后,特别是在特定人群中。