Division of Community Health and Family Medicine, Bangalore Baptist Hospital, Bangalore, Karnataka, India.
Department of Microbiology, Bangalore Baptist Hospital, Bangalore, Karnataka, India.
PLoS One. 2021 Mar 31;16(3):e0249247. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0249247. eCollection 2021.
We aimed to estimate the seroprevalence of COVID-19 in a rural district of South India, six months after the index case.
We conducted a cross-sectional study of 509 adults aged more than 18 years. From all the four subdistricts, two grampanchayats (administrative cluster of 5-8 villages) were randomly selected followed by one village through convenience. The participants were invited for the study to the community-based study kiosk set up in all the eight villages through village health committees. We collected socio-demographic characteristics and symptoms using a mobile application-based questionnaire, and we tested samples for the presence of IgG antibodies for SARS CoV-2 using an electro chemiluminescent immunoassay. We calculated age-gender adjusted and test performance adjusted seroprevalence.
The age-and gender-adjusted seroprevalence was 8.5% (95% CI 6.9%- 10.8%). The unadjusted seroprevalence among participants with hypertension and diabetes was 16.3% (95% CI:9.2-25.8) and 10.7% (95% CI: 5.5-18.3) respectively. When we adjusted for the test performance, the seroprevalence was 6.1% (95% CI 4.02-8.17). The study estimated 7 (95% CI 1:4.5-1:9) undetected infected individuals for every RT-PCR confirmed case. Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) was calculated as 12.38 per 10000 infections as on 22 October 2020. History of self-reported symptoms and education were significantly associated with positive status (p < 0.05).
A significant proportion of the rural population in a district of south India remains susceptible to COVID-19. A higher proportion of susceptible, relatively higher IFR and a poor tertiary healthcare network stress the importance of sustaining the public health measures and promoting early access to the vaccine are crucial to preserving the health of this population. Low population density, good housing, adequate ventilation, limited urbanisation combined with public, private and local health leadership are critical components of curbing future respiratory pandemics.
我们旨在评估印度南部一个农村地区在首例病例发生六个月后 COVID-19 的血清流行率。
我们对 509 名年龄在 18 岁以上的成年人进行了横断面研究。从所有四个分区中,随机选择两个村(行政集群 5-8 个村庄),然后通过便利选择一个村庄。通过村卫生委员会在所有八个村庄设立的基于移动应用程序的社区研究亭,邀请参与者参加这项研究。我们使用基于移动应用程序的问卷收集社会人口统计学特征和症状,并使用电化学发光免疫分析法检测样本中是否存在 SARS CoV-2 的 IgG 抗体。我们计算了年龄-性别调整后的血清流行率和测试性能调整后的血清流行率。
年龄和性别调整后的血清流行率为 8.5%(95%CI 6.9%-10.8%)。高血压和糖尿病患者未经调整的血清流行率分别为 16.3%(95%CI:9.2-25.8)和 10.7%(95%CI:5.5-18.3)。当我们调整测试性能时,血清流行率为 6.1%(95%CI 4.02-8.17)。该研究估计,每例 RT-PCR 确诊病例有 7 名(95%CI 1:4.5-1:9)未被发现的感染者。截至 2020 年 10 月 22 日,感染死亡率(IFR)计算为每 10000 例感染 12.38 例。自我报告症状和教育的历史与阳性状态显著相关(p < 0.05)。
印度南部一个地区的农村人口中仍有相当大的一部分易感染 COVID-19。易感人群比例较高、相对较高的 IFR 以及较差的三级医疗保健网络,强调了维持公共卫生措施和促进早期接种疫苗的重要性,这对于保护该人群的健康至关重要。人口密度低、住房条件好、通风良好、城市化程度有限,再加上公共、私人和地方卫生部门的领导,是遏制未来呼吸道大流行的关键因素。