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公共卫生教育计划对美国新型冠状病毒爆发的影响。

Impact of Public Health Education Program on the Novel Coronavirus Outbreak in the United States.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Spelman College, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, United States.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2021 Mar 15;9:630974. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.630974. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The coronavirus outbreak in the United States continues to pose a serious threat to human lives. Public health measures to slow down the spread of the virus involve using a face mask, social-distancing, and frequent hand washing. Since the beginning of the pandemic, there has been a global campaign on the use of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to curtail the spread of the virus. However, the number of cases, mortality, and hospitalization continue to rise globally, including in the United States. We developed a mathematical model to assess the impact of a public health education program on the coronavirus outbreak in the United States. Our simulation showed the prospect of an effective public health education program in reducing both the cumulative and daily mortality of the novel coronavirus. Finally, our result suggests the need to obey public health measures as loss of willingness would increase the cumulative and daily mortality in the United States.

摘要

美国的冠状病毒疫情持续对人类生命构成严重威胁。减缓病毒传播的公共卫生措施包括使用口罩、保持社交距离和经常洗手。自大流行开始以来,全球范围内一直在开展使用非药物干预(NPIs)来遏制病毒传播的运动。然而,包括美国在内的全球病例、死亡率和住院人数仍在持续上升。我们开发了一个数学模型来评估公共卫生教育计划对美国冠状病毒疫情的影响。我们的模拟表明,有效的公共卫生教育计划有希望降低新型冠状病毒的累积和每日死亡率。最后,我们的结果表明需要遵守公共卫生措施,因为意愿的丧失会增加美国的累积和每日死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0530/8005517/571322f56ca9/fpubh-09-630974-g0001.jpg

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