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在澳大利亚维多利亚州建立公交车-行人碰撞严重度模型。

Modelling bus-pedestrian crash severity in the state of Victoria, Australia.

机构信息

School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

School of Engineering, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2021 Jun;28(2):233-242. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2021.1907597. Epub 2021 Apr 6.

DOI:10.1080/17457300.2021.1907597
PMID:33820482
Abstract

Understanding the relationship between bus-pedestrian crash severity and factors contributing to such crashes is important. However, there exists a dearth of research on the factors affecting bus-pedestrian crash severity. This study aims to fulfil this gap by investigating the factors affecting the severity of pedestrian injuries. A data set of bus-pedestrian crashes in the State of Victoria, Australia was analysed over the period of 2006 - 2019. Through the results of association rule discovery method, the factors that increase the risk of pedestrian fatality are darkness, pedestrian walking on carriageway with traffic, intersections, high speed zone, old pedestrian, young bus driver and weekend holidays. Furthermore, co-occurrence of factors that increase the risk of a pedestrian fatality were extracted. To reduce the injuries of bus-pedestrian crashes, we recommend improving the light conditions, reducing the jaywalking behaviour of pedestrians, implementing speed bumps in high speed zones and installing pedestrian detection systems on buses.13 years of bus-pedestrian crashes in Victoria, Australia was analyzed.Association rules discovery was used for modeling pedestrian fatality.Darkness, pedestrian movement, zone speed and age effect the rate of fatality.Pattern of pedestrian fatality in collision with bus was extracted.

摘要

了解公交车-行人碰撞严重程度与导致此类碰撞的因素之间的关系非常重要。然而,目前关于影响公交车-行人碰撞严重程度的因素的研究还很少。本研究旨在通过调查影响行人伤害严重程度的因素来填补这一空白。对澳大利亚维多利亚州 2006 年至 2019 年期间的公交车-行人碰撞事故数据集进行了分析。通过关联规则发现方法的结果,发现增加行人死亡风险的因素有黑暗、行人在有交通的车行道上行走、交叉口、高速区、老年行人、年轻公交车司机和周末节假日。此外,还提取了增加行人死亡风险的因素的共同发生情况。为了减少公交车-行人碰撞事故造成的伤害,我们建议改善照明条件,减少行人的乱穿马路行为,在高速区设置减速带,并在公交车上安装行人检测系统。对澳大利亚维多利亚州 13 年来的公交车-行人碰撞事故进行了分析。使用关联规则发现方法对行人死亡进行建模。黑暗、行人移动、区域速度和年龄影响死亡率。提取了与公交车碰撞时行人死亡的模式。

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