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枪支立法对 1991-2017 年枪支死亡人数的影响。

The Impact of Firearm Legislation on Firearm Deaths, 1991-2017.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics & Epidemiology & NJ Gun Violence Research Center, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854.

Department of Psychology, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ 07102.

出版信息

J Public Health (Oxf). 2022 Aug 25;44(3):614-624. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdab047.

Abstract

Firearm violence is a major public health concern in the USA with firearm suicide and homicide accounting for the majority of gun deaths. The present work seeks to explore the role of firearm legislation in reducing suicide and homicide rates. Using the State Firearm Law Database (www.statefirearmlaws.org), suicide and homicide rates were compared across the 50 US states from 1991 to 2017. A firearm regulations index was computed to represent the total number of state firearm laws. Generalized estimating equations were used to explore population-level increases or decreases in firearm regulations and their association with state suicide and homicide rates after controlling for several state-level covariates. Even after accounting for several key covariates (US region; time; gun ownership; percent of the state population that was White, Black, below the poverty line and 25 years or older with a bachelor's degree; incarceration rate, unemployment rate and divorce rate), we found that firearm laws significantly predicted state firearm suicide and homicide rates. States with greater numbers of laws had reduced suicide and homicide rates compared with those with fewer laws. The present findings point to the role of firearm legislation in curbing rates of gun violence across the USA.

摘要

在美国,枪支暴力是一个主要的公共卫生关注点,枪支自杀和他杀占大多数枪支死亡人数。本研究旨在探讨枪支立法在降低自杀和杀人率方面的作用。利用州枪支法数据库(www.statefirearmlaws.org),比较了 1991 年至 2017 年美国 50 个州的自杀和杀人率。计算了枪支管制指数来代表州枪支法的总数。采用广义估计方程,在控制了几个州级协变量后,探讨了人口水平上枪支管制的增加或减少及其与州自杀和杀人率的关系。即使在考虑了几个关键协变量(美国地区;时间;枪支拥有量;白种人、黑种人、贫困线下和 25 岁或以上有学士学位的人口比例;监禁率、失业率和离婚率)后,我们发现枪支法显著预测了州枪支自杀和杀人率。与枪支法较少的州相比,枪支法较多的州自杀和杀人率较低。本研究结果表明,枪支立法在美国遏制枪支暴力方面发挥了作用。

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