一种具有恐惧和环境传播动力学的埃博拉病毒病模型。
An Ebola virus disease model with fear and environmental transmission dynamics.
作者信息
Juga M L, Nyabadza F, Chirove F
机构信息
Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Johannesburg, Auckland Park Campus, Johannesburg, 2006, South Africa.
出版信息
Infect Dis Model. 2021 Mar 20;6:545-559. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2021.03.002. eCollection 2021.
•Due to its high case fatality rate, EVD undoubtedly instills fear in the inhabitants of any affected community.•We propose an Ebola model with fear, which considers the pathogens in the environment to quantify the effect of fear and environmental transmission on the EVD disease dynamics.•The fear of death from Ebola is proportional to the Ebola disease transmission rate.•At high levels of fear, the number of EVD cases decrease.
•由于埃博拉病毒病（EVD）的高病死率，它无疑在任何受影响社区的居民中引发恐惧。
•我们提出了一个带有恐惧因素的埃博拉模型，该模型考虑环境中的病原体以量化恐惧和环境传播对埃博拉病毒病疾病动态的影响。
•对埃博拉死亡的恐惧与埃博拉疾病传播率成正比。
•在高度恐惧的情况下，埃博拉病毒病病例数会减少。
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