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国内贸易导致的 PM 污染转移对中国的健康和经济影响:省级分析。

Health and economic impacts from PM pollution transfer attributed to domestic trade in China: a provincial-level analysis.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, People's Republic of China.

Research Center of Resource and Environmental Economics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Sep;28(36):49559-49573. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13954-y. Epub 2021 May 2.

Abstract

In recent years, severe air pollution has had a serious impact on the health and economy of residents and has attracted great attention. Due to the spatial separation between consumption and production, the transfer of PM pollution and its health and economic effects caused by interprovincial trade have not been taken seriously. In this study, economic, atmospheric, and epidemiological models were combined to assess air pollution transfer and its health and economic impacts that are attributed to provincial trade in China. The analyses were performed under the PM transfer scenario in which economically developed areas in eastern China transferred many health and economic impacts to inland areas through interprovincial trade in 2012. As a result of interprovincial trade, 1980 (95% CI 0, 4114) extra deaths and 208,000 (95% CI 74.5, 395.6) additional illnesses accrued, but 0.184 (95% CI 0.017, 0.372) billion USD of residents' economic loss was avoided in China. The results illustrate the serious impact of domestic trade on regional health and economics. It is necessary to comprehensively consider supply chains in designing policies to mitigate the negative health and economic impacts of air pollution across China.

摘要

近年来,严重的空气污染对居民的健康和经济造成了严重影响,引起了极大关注。由于消费和生产的空间分离,跨省贸易导致的 PM 污染及其健康和经济影响尚未得到重视。本研究结合经济、大气和流行病学模型,评估了中国因省际贸易而产生的空气污染转移及其对健康和经济的影响。在 2012 年中国东部经济发达地区通过省际贸易将大量健康和经济影响转移到内陆地区的 PM 转移情景下进行了分析。由于省际贸易,中国额外增加了 1980 例(95%CI0,4114)死亡和 208000 例(95%CI74.5,395.6)疾病,但避免了 0.184 亿美元(95%CI0.017,0.372)居民经济损失。研究结果表明,国内贸易对区域健康和经济造成了严重影响。在制定政策减轻全中国空气污染对健康和经济的负面影响时,有必要综合考虑供应链。

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