Li Yong, Liao Qin, Zhao Xiu-Ge, Bai Yun, Tao Yan
Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems(Ministry of Education), College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2021 Apr 8;42(4):1688-1695. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202008313.
Research on health and the economic losses caused by PM pollution nationwide is critical for pollution control planning. First, the spatiotemporal distribution of PM and exposure levels were simulated and analyzed using the air quality model (WRF-Chem) in China in 2016. Then, the health burden and economic loss caused by PM pollution were estimated using environmental health risk and environmental value assessment methods. Finally, the health and economic benefits from achieving specific PM control targets were estimated. In 2016 in China, high levels of PM were concentrated in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the surrounding areas, the Yangtze River Delta, the Sichuan Basin, and the desert areas in northwest China. Furthermore, 71.49% of the total population of China was exposed to an environment with PM concentrations higher than 35 μg·m. Subsequently, the national PM-related mortality was 1.06 million, accounting for 10.9% of the total deaths in China. Stroke and ischemic heart disease accounted for approximately 80% of the total PM-related deaths caused by the five diseases studied. Meanwhile, the PM pollution resulted in economic losses of 705.93 billion yuan, which was 0.95% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2016. There were significant spatial differences in the health burden and economic loss, which primarily occurred in regions with high PM levels or population density. Moreover, reducing PM to 35 μg·m would only result in a 17.11% reduction in the health burden and economic loss, while a more exacting standard (reducing PM to 10 μg·m) would bring 80.47% of the health and economic benefits. It is suggested that environmental managers further strengthen their control to better protect the health and wealth benefits of residents, especially for sensitive groups, such as patients with cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, particularly in areas with high premature mortality.
对全国范围内PM污染所造成的健康影响和经济损失进行研究,对于污染控制规划至关重要。首先,利用空气质量模型(WRF-Chem)模拟并分析了2016年中国PM的时空分布及暴露水平。然后,运用环境卫生风险和环境价值评估方法估算了PM污染造成的健康负担和经济损失。最后,估算了实现特定PM控制目标所带来的健康和经济效益。2016年中国,高浓度PM集中在北京-天津-河北及周边地区、长江三角洲、四川盆地以及中国西北部的沙漠地区。此外,中国71.49%的总人口暴露于PM浓度高于35μg·m的环境中。随后,全国与PM相关的死亡人数为106万,占中国总死亡人数的10.9%。中风和缺血性心脏病约占所研究的五种疾病导致的与PM相关总死亡人数的80%。同时,PM污染导致经济损失7059.3亿元,占2016年国内生产总值(GDP)的0.95%。健康负担和经济损失存在显著的空间差异,主要发生在PM浓度高或人口密度大的地区。此外,将PM降至35μg·m只会使健康负担和经济损失降低17.11%,而更严格的标准(将PM降至10μg·m)将带来80.47%的健康和经济效益。建议环境管理者进一步加强管控,以更好地保护居民的健康和财富利益,特别是对于敏感群体,如心脑血管疾病患者,尤其是在过早死亡率高的地区。