Downing John A, Polasky Stephen, Olmstead Sheila M, Newbold Stephen C
Minnesota Sea Grant, University of Minnesota, Duluth, MN, 55812-1198, USA.
Department of Biology, University of Minnesota Duluth, Duluth, MN, 55812, USA.
Nat Commun. 2021 May 11;12(1):2709. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22836-3.
Surface water is among Earth's most important resources. Yet, benefit-cost studies often report that the costs of water quality protection exceed its benefits. One possible reason for this seeming paradox is that often only a narrow range of local water quality benefits are considered. In particular, the climate damages from water pollution have rarely been quantified. Recent advances in global water science allow the computation of the global methane emission from lakes caused by human nutrient enrichment (eutrophication). Here, we estimate the present value of the global social cost of eutrophication-driven methane emissions from lakes between 2015 and 2050 to be $7.5-$81 trillion (2015 $US), and in a case-study for one well-studied lake (Lake Erie) we find the global value of avoiding eutrophication exceeds local values of either beach use or sport fishing by 10-fold.
地表水是地球上最重要的资源之一。然而,效益成本研究常常表明,水质保护的成本超过了其效益。造成这种看似矛盾现象的一个可能原因是,通常只考虑了范围狭窄的当地水质效益。特别是,水污染对气候造成的损害很少被量化。全球水科学的最新进展使得计算因人类营养物质富集(富营养化)导致湖泊产生的全球甲烷排放量成为可能。在此,我们估计2015年至2050年间湖泊富营养化驱动的甲烷排放造成的全球社会成本现值为7.5万亿美元至81万亿美元(2015年美元),并且在一项对一个研究充分的湖泊(伊利湖)的案例研究中,我们发现避免富营养化的全球价值比海滩使用或体育钓鱼的当地价值高出10倍。