First Institute of Oceanography, and Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao, China.
Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China.
Nat Commun. 2021 May 20;12(1):2966. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23321-7.
As a cooling machine of the Arctic Ocean, the Barents Sea releases most of the incoming ocean heat originating from the North Atlantic. The related air-sea heat exchange plays a crucial role in both regulating the climate and determining the deep circulation in the Arctic Ocean and beyond. It was reported that the cooling efficiency of this cooling machine has decreased significantly. In this study, we find that the overall cooling efficiency did not really drop: When the cooling efficiency decreased in the southern Barents Sea, it increased in the northern Barents and Kara Seas, indicating that the cooling machine has expanded poleward. According to climate model projections, it is very likely that the cooling machine will continue to expand to the Kara Sea and then to the Arctic Basin in a warming climate. As a result, the Arctic Atlantification will be enhanced and pushed poleward in the future.
作为北冰洋的冷却机,巴伦支海释放了大部分来自北大西洋的海洋热量。相关的海气热交换在调节气候和确定北冰洋及其以外地区的深层环流方面起着至关重要的作用。据报道,这台冷却机的冷却效率已大幅下降。在这项研究中,我们发现该冷却机的整体冷却效率实际上并未下降:当巴伦支海南部的冷却效率下降时,巴伦支海和卡拉海的北部冷却效率上升,表明冷却机已向极地扩展。根据气候模型预测,在气候变暖的情况下,冷却机很可能会继续向卡拉海扩张,然后向北极海盆扩张。因此,未来北极的大西洋化将增强并向极地推进。