Heine Michael, Herr Hansjörg
FB Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, Badensche Straße 50-51, 10825 Berlin, Deutschland.
Wirtschaftsdienst. 2021;101(5):369-375. doi: 10.1007/s10273-021-2921-6. Epub 2021 May 17.
Even before the COVID-19 crisis, the European Monetary Union (EMU) exhibited an unsatisfactory economic development with low growth and inflation rates below the target rate of the central bank. Macroeconomic coordination among monetary and fiscal policy is necessary to fend off such large crises. Insufficient wage increases that lead to deflation need to be avoided. Last, but not least, a mechanism is needed to stabilise the financial system and quickly deal with non-performing loans. Except in the field of monetary policy, the EMU lacks institutions that support quick and sufficient economic policies. There is the danger that policy mistakes will lead to long-term stagnation in the EMU or possibly even a great recession.
甚至在新冠疫情危机之前,欧洲货币联盟(EMU)就呈现出不尽人意的经济发展态势,增长率低且通胀率低于央行的目标利率。货币和财政政策之间的宏观经济协调对于抵御此类重大危机而言必不可少。必须避免因工资增长不足而导致通缩。最后但同样重要的是,需要一种机制来稳定金融体系并迅速处理不良贷款。除货币政策领域外,欧洲货币联盟缺乏支持快速且充分的经济政策的机构。存在政策失误将导致欧洲货币联盟长期停滞甚至可能引发大衰退的风险。