Department of Mathematics, Tufts University, Bromfield-Pearson Hall 503 Boston Avenue, Medford, MA, 02155, USA.
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 710 N Pleasant Street, Amherst, MA, 01003, USA.
J Math Biol. 2021 May 26;82(7):64. doi: 10.1007/s00285-021-01613-2.
We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary distribution). Since it is usually impossible to characterize this invariant probability measure analytically, we develop a powerful method for numerically approximating invariant probability measures. This allows us to shed light upon how the various parameters of the ecosystem impact the stationary distribution. We analyze different types of environmental fluctuations. At first we study ecosystems modeled by stochastic differential equations. In the second setting we look at piecewise deterministic Markov processes. These are processes where one follows a system of differential equations for a random time, after which the environmental state changes, and one follows a different set of differential equations-this procedure then gets repeated indefinitely. Finally, we look at stochastic differential equations with switching, which take into account both the white noise fluctuations and the random environmental switches. As applications of our theoretical and numerical analysis, we look at competitive Lotka-Volterra, Beddington-DeAngelis predator-prey, and rock-paper-scissors dynamics. We highlight new biological insights by analyzing the stationary distributions of the ecosystems and by seeing how various types of environmental fluctuations influence the long term fate of populations.
我们分析受随机环境波动影响的生态系统。我们首先提供了一些一般条件,这些条件确保了物种共存并且系统收敛到一个唯一的不变概率测度(平稳分布)。由于通常不可能对这个不变概率测度进行解析分析,我们开发了一种强大的数值逼近不变概率测度的方法。这使我们能够了解生态系统的各种参数如何影响平稳分布。我们分析了不同类型的环境波动。首先,我们研究了由随机微分方程建模的生态系统。在第二种设置中,我们研究了分段确定性马尔可夫过程。这些是在随机时间内遵循微分方程组的过程,之后环境状态发生变化,然后遵循另一组不同的微分方程组——此过程会无限期重复。最后,我们研究了带有切换的随机微分方程,它同时考虑了白噪声波动和随机环境切换。作为我们的理论和数值分析的应用,我们研究了竞争Lotka-Volterra、Beddington-DeAngelis 捕食者-猎物和石头剪刀布动力学。我们通过分析生态系统的平稳分布以及观察各种类型的环境波动如何影响种群的长期命运,来突出新的生物学见解。