Stanley Linda R, Miller Kimberly, Beauvais Fred, Walker Patricia Silk, Walker R Dale
Tri-Ethnic Center for Prevention Research, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO.
Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, Oregon Health & Sciences University, Portland, OR.
J Child Adolesc Subst Abuse. 2014;23(2):101-108. doi: 10.1080/1067828x.2012.748601. Epub 2014 Jan 28.
This study examines predictors of alcohol use disorders (AUDs) among an urban American Indian cohort who were followed from approximately age 11 to age 20. Approximately 27% of the sample had a lifetime diagnosis of alcohol abuse or dependence. The results indicated that externalizing, but not internalizing, behaviors, family conflict, and school liking served as significant predictors of an AUD. Neither having an alcoholic mother nor an alcoholic father was found to be significantly predictive of an alcohol use disorder at ages 19-20. Finally, early alcohol initiation is a substantial predictor of an AUD and acts as a partial mediator.
本研究调查了一组美国城市印第安人群体中酒精使用障碍（AUDs）的预测因素，该群体从大约11岁到20岁被跟踪随访。样本中约27%的人一生中有酒精滥用或酒精依赖的诊断。结果表明，外化行为（而非内化行为）、家庭冲突和对学校的喜爱程度是酒精使用障碍的重要预测因素。在19 - 20岁时，有酗酒母亲或酗酒父亲均未被发现是酒精使用障碍的显著预测因素。最后，早期开始饮酒是酒精使用障碍的一个重要预测因素，并且起到部分中介作用。
