Zhu Jianfei, Zhang Qingqing, Jia Chenghui, Xu Shuonan, Lei Jie, Chen Jiakuan, Xia Yanmin, Wang Wenchen, Wang Xuejiao, Wen Miaomiao, Wang Hongtao, Zhang Zhipei, Wang Wuping, Zhao Jinbo, Jiang Tao
Department of Thoracic Surgery, Tangdu Hospital, Air Force Military Medical University (Fourth Military Medical University), Xi'an, China.
Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.
Front Med (Lausanne). 2021 May 20;8:573726. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2021.573726. eCollection 2021.
Overseas imported cases of COVID-19 continue to increase in China, so we conducted this study to review the epidemiological characteristics of these patients. From February 26 to April 4, 2020, the imported cases from abroad were enrolled in this study. The effect of prevention countermeasures in curbing the spread of COVID-19 was assessed in this study. Moreover, we defined incubation period and confirmed time as from the date of leaving the epicenter to date of symptom onset and date of final diagnosed, respectively, and the interval of symptom onset to final diagnosed time was defined as diagnostic time. Categorical variables were summarized as numbers and percentages, and the difference among the variables were analyzed. For 670 cases imported from abroad, 555 were Chinese and 115 were foreigners. Apparently, confirmed cases had significantly decreased after China was compelled to temporarily suspend the entry of foreign passport holders with valid visas or residence permits; 6 days after implement of controlled measures, the daily new confirmed cases were reduced to 13 cases. Moreover, about 84.3% of patients (166/197) presented symptoms 1 week after leaving the epicenter, and notably seven patients (3.6%) had symptoms 2 weeks after leaving the epicenter. The median incubation period was 3.0 days (inter quartile range, 1.0 to 6.0), the 95th percentile was 11.6 days. Additionally, most of cases (92.9%) were detected positively of nucleic acid after symptom onset with 4 days, the median diagnostic time was 2.0 days (interquartile range, 1.0 to 3.0), and the 95th percentile of the distribution was 5.0 days. Finally, about 5.8% of patients were healthy carriers, and the median confirmed time of asymptomatic patients was 4.0 days (interquartile range, 2.0 to 9.0). The following variables might be associated with confirmed time: symptom type ( = 0.005), exported regions ( < 0.001), and symptom onset time ( < 0.001). The prevention countermeasures for imported cases implemented by the Chinese government played an indispensable role in curbing the spread of COVID-19; the time of departure from epicenter could provide an estimate of the incubation period; and a confirmed time, 2-week quarantine period might need to be prolonged, while asymptomatic patients should be closely monitored.
中国新冠肺炎境外输入病例持续增加,因此我们开展了本研究以回顾这些患者的流行病学特征。2020年2月26日至4月4日,本研究纳入了境外输入病例。本研究评估了预防措施在遏制新冠肺炎传播方面的效果。此外,我们将潜伏期和确诊时间分别定义为从离开疫情中心之日到症状出现之日以及最终确诊之日,症状出现到最终确诊的间隔时间定义为诊断时间。分类变量以数字和百分比进行总结,并分析变量之间的差异。对于670例境外输入病例,555例为中国公民,115例为外国人。显然,在中国被迫暂时停止持有效签证或居留许可的外国护照持有人入境后,确诊病例显著减少;实施管控措施6天后,每日新增确诊病例降至13例。此外,约84.3%的患者(166/197)在离开疫情中心1周后出现症状,值得注意的是,7例患者(3.6%)在离开疫情中心2周后出现症状。潜伏期的中位数为3.0天(四分位间距为1.0至6.0),第95百分位数为11.6天。此外,大多数病例(92.9%)在症状出现后4天内核酸检测呈阳性,诊断时间的中位数为2.0天(四分位间距为1.0至3.0),分布的第95百分位数为5.0天。最后,约5.8%的患者为无症状携带者,无症状患者确诊时间的中位数为4.0天(四分位间距为2.0至9.0)。以下变量可能与确诊时间有关:症状类型(P = 0.005)、输出地区(P < 0.001)和症状出现时间(P < 0.001)。中国政府针对输入病例实施的预防措施在遏制新冠肺炎传播方面发挥了不可或缺的作用;离开疫情中心的时间可以提供潜伏期的估计;确诊时间方面,可能需要延长2周的隔离期,同时应对无症状患者进行密切监测。