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哪些因素可以预测已婚男女的生育意愿?来自 2012 年尼日尔人口与健康调查的结果。

Which factors predict fertility intentions of married men and women? Results from the 2012 Niger Demographic and Health Survey.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

Department of Population and Health, College of Humanities and Legal Studies, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Jun 9;16(6):e0252281. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0252281. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0252281
PMID:34106940
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8189508/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Niger is the country with the highest total fertility rate in the world. In the present study, we investigated factors associated with the desire for more children among married men and women in Niger.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We utilised data from the 2012 Niger Demographic and Health Survey. The outcome variable for the study was fertility intentions. The data were analysed with Stata version 14.0. Both descriptive (frequencies and percentages) and inferential (binary logistic regression) analyses were carried out.

RESULTS

Desire for more children was 97.2% and 87.2% among men and women respectively. Women aged 45-49 were less likely to desire more children, compared to those aged 25-39 [aOR = 0.13, CI = 0.11-0.16]. The odds of desire for more children were high in rural areas, compared to urban areas [aOR = 1.61, CI = 1.20-2.17]. Childbearing women with seven or more births were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with 1-3 births [aOR = 0.09, CI = 0.06-0.14]. Men aged 50-59 were less likely to desire more children, compared to those aged 25-39 [aOR = 0.13, CI = 0.05-0.35]. Men with secondary/higher level of education were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with no formal education [aOR = 0.24, CI = 0.11-0.52]. Childbearing men with seven or more births were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with 1-3 births [aOR = 0.06, CI = 0.01-0.30].

CONCLUSION

This study shows high fertility desire among men and women in Niger. However, the prevalence of fertility desire among men is higher than that of women. A number of socio-economic and demographic factors were found to be associated with desire for more children among men and women in Niger. This calls for a collective effort to educate women and men in Niger on the negative consequences of rapid population growth and large family sizes.

摘要

简介

尼日尔是全球总和生育率最高的国家。在本研究中,我们调查了影响尼日尔已婚男女生育意愿的因素。

材料与方法

我们使用了 2012 年尼日尔人口与健康调查的数据。研究的因变量是生育意愿。使用 Stata 14.0 进行数据分析。进行了描述性(频率和百分比)和推断性(二元逻辑回归)分析。

结果

男性和女性的生育意愿分别为 97.2%和 87.2%。与 25-39 岁的女性相比,45-49 岁的女性生育意愿较低[aOR=0.13,95%CI=0.11-0.16]。与城市地区相比,农村地区生育意愿较高[aOR=1.61,95%CI=1.20-2.17]。与生育 1-3 胎的女性相比,生育 7 胎及以上的女性生育意愿较低[aOR=0.09,95%CI=0.06-0.14]。与 25-39 岁的男性相比,50-59 岁的男性生育意愿较低[aOR=0.13,95%CI=0.05-0.35]。与没有正规教育的男性相比,接受过中等/高等教育的男性生育意愿较低[aOR=0.24,95%CI=0.11-0.52]。与生育 1-3 胎的男性相比,生育 7 胎及以上的男性生育意愿较低[aOR=0.06,95%CI=0.01-0.30]。

结论

本研究表明,尼日尔男性和女性的生育意愿较高。然而,男性的生育意愿高于女性。研究发现,一些社会经济和人口因素与尼日尔男性和女性的生育意愿有关。这需要尼日尔社会各界共同努力,对女性和男性进行教育,让他们了解人口快速增长和大家庭规模所带来的负面影响。

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