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新冠疫情对瑞典公共交通客流量的影响:车票验证、销售及乘客数量分析

Impacts of COVID-19 on public transport ridership in Sweden: Analysis of ticket validations, sales and passenger counts.

作者信息

Jenelius Erik, Cebecauer Matej

机构信息

Division of Transport Planning, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect. 2020 Nov;8:100242. doi: 10.1016/j.trip.2020.100242. Epub 2020 Oct 20.

Abstract

The paper analyses the impacts of COVID-19 on daily public transport ridership in the three most populated regions of Sweden (Stockholm, Västra Götaland and Skåne) during spring 2020. The analysis breaks down the overall ridership with respect to ticket types, youths and seniors, and transport modes based on ticket validations, sales and passenger counts data. By utilizing disaggregate ticket validation data with consistent card ids we further investigate to what extent fewer people travelled, or each person travelled less, during the pandemic. The decrease in public transport ridership (40%-60% across regions) was severe compared with other transport modes. Ridership was not restricted by service levels as supply generally remained unchanged throughout the period. The ridership reduction stems primarily from a lower number of active public transport travellers. Travellers switched from monthly period tickets to single tickets and travel funds, while the use and the sales of short period tickets, used predominantly by tourists, dropped to almost zero. One-year period tickets and school tickets increased from mid-April, which could indicate that the travellers using these tickets are particularly captive to the public transport system. Collaborative effort is required to put the results in the international context.

摘要

本文分析了2020年春季新冠疫情对瑞典人口最多的三个地区(斯德哥尔摩、西约塔兰和斯科讷)日常公共交通客流量的影响。该分析根据车票验证、销售和乘客计数数据,按车票类型、青年和老年人以及交通方式对总体客流量进行了细分。通过使用具有一致卡ID的分类车票验证数据,我们进一步调查了在疫情期间出行人数减少或每人出行次数减少的程度。与其他交通方式相比,公共交通客流量的下降(各地区下降40%-60%)较为严重。客流量并未受到服务水平的限制,因为在此期间供应总体保持不变。客流量减少主要是由于活跃的公共交通乘客数量减少。乘客从月票转向单程票和旅行资金,而主要由游客使用的短期车票的使用和销售量降至几乎为零。一年期车票和学校车票从4月中旬开始增加,这可能表明使用这些车票的乘客对公共交通系统的依赖程度特别高。需要共同努力将这些结果置于国际背景下。

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