School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
International Business School, Brandeis University, Waltham, MA 02453, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Jun 21;18(12):6658. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18126658.
As China's economic development has entered a new phase, China needs to seek a new path of green transformation development to coordinate the economic growth with environmental mitigation. From 2002 to 2017, green investment in China grew from 118.56 billion Chinese yuan to 950.86 billion Chinese yuan, increasing more than seven times. In this study, a homothetic shift-share analysis (HSSA) is used to understand how green investment changed and was used to decompose the change of provincial green investment in China from 2002 to 2017 into four driving factors: the national economic growth effect (), national green investment structure effect (), homothetic regional green investment competition effect (), and regional green investment allocation effect (). The results indicate that these four factors had various regional and temporal characteristics, although green investment increased in all provinces during this period. More specifically, the was more significant in the east than in other regions. The regional differences of were relatively large in the first two periods (2002-2007 and 2007-2012) and began to shrink in the third period (2012-2017). The shared the same characteristics as the . In terms of , the central region was ahead of the eastern and western regions, and relatively many eastern provinces were with negative . The of most provinces showed a trend of "low/medium-medium/high-low". The inhibited green investment growth in most provinces and showed a "high-low-high" trend regarding the change from 2002 to 2017. Our study suggests that it is necessary to coordinate the growth of green investment across different regions and establish an ecological compensation mechanism.
随着中国经济发展进入新阶段，需要寻求绿色转型发展的新路径，协调经济增长与环境缓解。从 2002 年到 2017 年，中国绿色投资从 1185.6 亿元增长到 9508.6 亿元，增长了 7 倍多。本研究采用同类变化份额分析（HSSA）来理解绿色投资的变化，并将中国 2002 年至 2017 年省级绿色投资的变化分解为四个驱动因素：国家经济增长效应（）、国家绿色投资结构效应（）、同形区域绿色投资竞争效应（）和区域绿色投资配置效应（）。结果表明，尽管在此期间所有省份的绿色投资都有所增加，但这四个因素具有不同的区域和时间特征。具体而言，东部地区的效应更为显著。在第一和第二期（2002-2007 年和 2007-2012 年），的区域差异较大，而在第三期（2012-2017 年）开始缩小。的特征与相同。在方面，中部地区领先于东部和西部地区，相对较多的东部省份为负。大多数省份的 呈现“低/中-中-高-低”的趋势。抑制了大多数省份的绿色投资增长，并且从 2002 年到 2017 年的变化呈现“高-低-高”的趋势。我们的研究表明，有必要协调不同地区绿色投资的增长，并建立生态补偿机制。
