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预测院内心脏骤停后的院内死亡率:一项多因素分析。

Predicting in-hospital mortality after an in-hospital cardiac arrest: A multivariate analysis.

作者信息

Alnabelsi Talal, Annabathula Rahul, Shelton Julie, Paranzino Marc, Faulkner Sarah Price, Cook Matthew, Dugan Adam J, Nerusu Sethabhisha, Smyth Susan S, Gupta Vedant A

机构信息

Gill Heart and Vascular Institute, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, United States.

College of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, United States.

出版信息

Resusc Plus. 2020 Nov 7;4:100039. doi: 10.1016/j.resplu.2020.100039. eCollection 2020 Dec.

DOI:10.1016/j.resplu.2020.100039
PMID:34223316
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8244474/
Abstract

AIM OF THE STUDY

Most survivors of an in-hospital cardiac arrest do not leave the hospital alive, and there is a need for a more patient-centered, holistic approach to the assessment of prognosis after an arrest. We sought to identify pre-, peri-, and post-arrest variables associated with in-hospital mortality amongst survivors of an in-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of patients ≥18 years of age who were resuscitated from an in-hospital arrest at our University Medical Center from January 1, 2013 to September 31, 2016. In-hospital mortality was chosen as a primary outcome and unfavorable discharge disposition (discharge disposition other than home or skilled nursing facility) as a secondary outcome.

RESULTS

925 patients comprised the in-hospital arrest cohort with 305 patients failing to survive the arrest and a further 349 patients surviving the initial arrest but dying prior to hospital discharge, resulting in an overall survival of 29%. 620 patients with a ROSC of greater than 20 min following the in-hospital arrest were included in the final analysis. In a stepwise multivariable regression analysis, recurrent cardiac arrest, increasing age, time to ROSC, higher serum creatinine levels, and a history of cancer were predictors of in-hospital mortality. A history of hypertension was found to exert a protective effect on outcomes. In the regression model including serum lactate, increasing lactate levels were associated with lower odds of survival.

CONCLUSION

Amongst survivors of in-hospital cardiac arrest, recurrent cardiac arrest was the strongest predictor of poor outcomes with age, time to ROSC, pre-existing malignancy, and serum creatinine levels linked with increased odds of in-hospital mortality.

摘要

研究目的

大多数医院内心脏骤停幸存者未能活着出院,因此需要一种更以患者为中心的整体方法来评估心脏骤停后的预后。我们试图确定与医院内心脏骤停幸存者院内死亡率相关的骤停前、骤停期间和骤停后变量。

方法

这是一项回顾性队列研究,研究对象为2013年1月1日至2016年9月31日在我们大学医学中心从医院内心脏骤停中复苏的18岁及以上患者。将院内死亡率作为主要结局,将不良出院处置(除回家或熟练护理机构以外的出院处置)作为次要结局。

结果

925名患者组成了医院内心脏骤停队列,其中305名患者在心脏骤停后未能存活,另有349名患者在最初的心脏骤停后存活但在出院前死亡,总体生存率为29%。最终分析纳入了620名在医院内心脏骤停后自主循环恢复时间超过20分钟的患者。在逐步多变量回归分析中,反复心脏骤停、年龄增加、自主循环恢复时间、血清肌酐水平升高和癌症病史是院内死亡率的预测因素。发现高血压病史对结局有保护作用。在包括血清乳酸的回归模型中,乳酸水平升高与较低的生存几率相关。

结论

在医院内心脏骤停幸存者中,反复心脏骤停是不良结局的最强预测因素,年龄、自主循环恢复时间、既往恶性肿瘤和血清肌酐水平与院内死亡率增加相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/8e21d1c10ec5/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/90569fceb082/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/482fd1cbdc2f/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/8e21d1c10ec5/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/90569fceb082/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/482fd1cbdc2f/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0f57/8244474/8e21d1c10ec5/gr3.jpg

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