Watson Helena A, Carlisle Naomi, Seed Paul T, Carter Jenny, Kuhrt Katy, Tribe Rachel M, Shennan Andrew H
Department of Women and Children's Health, School of Life Course Sciences, King's College London, St Thomas' Hospital, London.
PLoS Med. 2021 Jul 6;18(7):e1003689. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003689. eCollection 2021 Jul.
Preterm delivery (before 37 weeks of gestation) is the single most important contributor to neonatal death and morbidity, with lifelong repercussions. However, the majority of women who present with preterm labour (PTL) symptoms do not deliver imminently. Accurate prediction of PTL is needed in order ensure correct management of those most at risk of preterm birth (PTB) and to prevent the maternal and fetal risks incurred by unnecessary interventions given to the majority. The QUantitative Innovation in Predicting Preterm birth (QUIPP) app aims to support clinical decision-making about women in threatened preterm labour (TPTL) by combining quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) values, cervical length (CL), and significant PTB risk factors to create an individualised percentage risk of delivery.
EQUIPTT was a multi-centre cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) involving 13 maternity units in South and Eastern England (United Kingdom) between March 2018 and February 2019. Pregnant women (n = 1,872) between 23+0 and 34+6 weeks' gestation with symptoms of PTL in the analysis period were assigned to either the intervention (762) or control (1,111). The mean age of the study population was 30.2 (+/- SD 5.93). A total of 56.0% were white, 19.6% were black, 14.2% were Asian, and 10.2% were of other ethnicities. The intervention was the use of the QUiPP app with admission, antenatal corticosteroids (ACSs), and transfer advised for women with a QUiPP risk of delivery >5% within 7 days. Control sites continued with their conventional management of TPTL. Unnecessary management for TPTL was a composite primary outcome defined by the sum of unnecessary admission decisions (admitted and delivery interval >7 days or not admitted and delivery interval ≤7 days) and the number of unnecessary in utero transfer (IUT) decisions/actions (IUT that occurred or were attempted >7 days prior to delivery) and ex utero transfers (EUTs) that should have been in utero (attempted and not attempted). Unnecessary management of TPTL was 11.3% (84/741) at the intervention sites versus 11.5% (126/1094) at control sites (odds ratio [OR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-1.42, p = 0.883). Control sites frequently used qfFN and did not follow UK national guidance, which recommends routine treatment below 30 weeks without testing. Unnecessary management largely consisted of unnecessary admissions which were similar at intervention and control sites (10.7% versus 10.8% of all visits). In terms of adverse outcomes for women in TPTL <36 weeks, 4 women from the intervention sites and 12 from the control sites did not receive recommended management. If the QUiPP percentage risk was used as per protocol, unnecessary management would have been 7.4% (43/578) versus 9.9% (134/1,351) (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.45-1.16). Our external validation of the QUiPP app confirmed that it was highly predictive of delivery in 7 days; receiver operating curve area was 0.90 (95% CI 0.85-0.95) for symptomatic women. Study limitations included a lack of compliance with national guidance at the control sites and difficulties in implementation of the QUiPP app.
This cluster randomised trial did not demonstrate that the use of the QUiPP app reduced unnecessary management of TPTL compared to current management but would safely improve the management recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Interpretation of qfFN, with or without the QUiPP app, is a safe and accurate method for identifying women most likely to benefit from PTL interventions.
ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN17846337.
早产(妊娠37周前)是新生儿死亡和发病的最重要单一因素,会产生终身影响。然而,大多数出现早产临产(PTL)症状的女性并不会立即分娩。为了确保对早产风险最高的人群进行正确管理,并防止对大多数人进行不必要干预所带来的母婴风险,需要对PTL进行准确预测。预测早产的定量创新(QUIPP)应用程序旨在通过结合定量胎儿纤连蛋白(qfFN)值、宫颈长度(CL)和显著的早产风险因素,为有早产临产风险(TPTL)的女性提供个性化的分娩风险百分比,以支持临床决策。
EQUIPTT是一项多中心整群随机对照试验(RCT),于2018年3月至2019年2月在英格兰南部和东部(英国)的13个产科单位进行。分析期内妊娠23+0至34+6周且有PTL症状的孕妇(n = 1872)被分配到干预组(762例)或对照组(1111例)。研究人群的平均年龄为30.2岁(标准差5.93)。共有56.0%为白人,19.6%为黑人,14.2%为亚洲人,10.2%为其他种族。干预措施是对QUIPP分娩风险>5%且在7天内的女性使用QUIPP应用程序,并建议入院、使用产前糖皮质激素(ACSs)和转诊。对照站点继续采用其对TPTL的常规管理。TPTL的不必要管理是一个综合主要结局,由不必要入院决策(入院与分娩间隔>7天或未入院且分娩间隔≤7天)的总和以及不必要的宫内转运(IUT)决策/行动(在分娩前>7天发生或尝试的IUT)和本应在宫内进行的宫外转运(EUTs)(尝试和未尝试)的数量定义。干预站点TPTL不必要管理的发生率为11.3%(84/741),对照站点为11.5%(126/1094)(优势比[OR]0.97,95%置信区间[CI]0.66 - 1.42,p = 0.883)。对照站点经常使用qfFN且未遵循英国国家指南,该指南建议在30周以下进行常规治疗时无需检测。不必要管理主要包括不必要入院,干预组和对照组相似(分别占所有就诊的10.7%和10.8%)。对于孕周<36周的TPTL女性的不良结局,干预组有4名女性,对照组有12名女性未接受推荐管理。如果按照方案使用QUIPP百分比风险,不必要管理的发生率将为7.4%(43/578),而对照组为9.9%(134/1351)(OR 0.72,95% CI 0.45 - 1.16)。我们对QUIPP应用程序的外部验证证实,它对7天内的分娩具有高度预测性;有症状女性的受试者工作特征曲线面积为0.90(95% CI 0.85 - 0.95)。研究局限性包括对照站点未遵守国家指南以及QUIPP应用程序实施困难。
这项整群随机试验并未表明与当前管理相比,使用QUIPP应用程序可减少TPTL的不必要管理,但会安全地改善国家卫生与保健优化研究所(NICE)推荐的管理。无论是否使用QUIPP应用程序,对qfFN的解读都是识别最可能从PTL干预中受益女性的安全准确方法。
ISRCTN注册库ISRCTN17846337