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香港自杀流行病学特征的变化:一项40年回顾性分解分析

Changes in the epidemiological profile of suicide in Hong Kong: a 40-year retrospective decomposition analysis.

作者信息

Yang Chi-Ting, Yip Paul Siu Fai

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.

Hong Kong Jockey Club Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

China Popul Dev Stud. 2021;5(2):153-173. doi: 10.1007/s42379-021-00087-5. Epub 2021 Jul 6.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

The suicide rate in Hong Kong has increased significantly over the past four decades. Population subgroups such as the elderly or economically-distressed are reported to be more vulnerable than others to suicidal behaviors, while changing suicide methods (such as charcoal burning which emerged in 1998), has also contributed significantly to increasing suicide rates. However, the extent of the contribution of different factors to changes in suicide rate remains unclear. This paper reported on a decomposition analysis of the epidemiological profile of suicide in Hong Kong between 1976 and 2015, specifically considering factors underlying the increasing suicide rate over this period. Completed death registry information was available from the Census and Statistics Department of the Hong Kong SAR for this investigation. We compared absolute and relative contributions of gender, age and suicide method to rate changes over time. Changes in suicide rate were generally underpinned by more than one factor. Population aging in a rapidly-aging city contributed significantly to suicide rate increases, whilst jumping from a height had the greatest influence on rate changes throughout the study period. Suicides by male aged 25-34 years and 45-54 years were more likely to be triggered by economic factors, compared with the other gender-age subgroups. The decomposition approach provided a comprehensive understanding about how socioeconomic factors and suicide methods interacted to influence over-time suicide patterns. This research supports development of more focused suicide prevention measures to reduce suicide rate.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42379-021-00087-5.

摘要

未标注

在过去的四十年里,香港的自杀率显著上升。据报道,老年人或经济困难等人口亚群体比其他群体更容易出现自杀行为,而自杀方式的变化(如1998年出现的烧炭自杀)也对自杀率的上升起到了显著作用。然而,不同因素对自杀率变化的贡献程度仍不清楚。本文报告了对1976年至2015年香港自杀流行病学概况的分解分析,特别考虑了这一时期自杀率上升的潜在因素。本调查可从香港特别行政区政府统计处获得完整的死亡登记信息。我们比较了性别、年龄和自杀方式对随时间变化的自杀率的绝对和相对贡献。自杀率的变化通常由多个因素共同支撑。在一个快速老龄化的城市中,人口老龄化对自杀率的上升有显著贡献,而在整个研究期间,跳楼对自杀率变化的影响最大。与其他性别年龄亚组相比,25至34岁和45至54岁男性的自杀更有可能由经济因素引发。分解方法提供了对社会经济因素和自杀方式如何相互作用以影响长期自杀模式的全面理解。本研究支持制定更有针对性的自杀预防措施以降低自杀率。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s42379-021-00087-5获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/48da/8259555/076c5b8a0c52/42379_2021_87_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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