• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

短期死亡率波动数据序列,监测跨时间和空间的死亡率冲击。

The short-term mortality fluctuation data series, monitoring mortality shocks across time and space.

机构信息

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Sci Data. 2021 Sep 6;8(1):235. doi: 10.1038/s41597-021-01019-1.

DOI:10.1038/s41597-021-01019-1
PMID:34489477
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8421508/
Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed substantial coverage and quality gaps in existing international and national statistical monitoring systems. It is striking that obtaining timely, accurate, and comparable across countries data in order to adequately respond to unexpected epidemiological threats is very challenging. The most robust and reliable approach to quantify the mortality burden due to short-term risk factors is based on estimating weekly excess deaths. This approach is more reliable than monitoring deaths with COVID-19 diagnosis or calculating incidence or fatality rates affected by numerous problems such as testing coverage and comparability of diagnostic approaches. In response to the emerging data challenges, a new data resource on weekly mortality has been established. The Short-term Mortality Fluctuations (STMF, available at www.mortality.org ) data series is the first international database providing open-access harmonized, uniform, and fully documented data on weekly all-cause mortality. The STMF online vizualisation tool provides an opportunity to perform a quick assessment of the excess weekly mortality in one or several countries by means of an interactive graphical interface.

摘要

COVID-19 大流行暴露了现有国际和国家统计监测系统在覆盖范围和质量方面的巨大差距。令人震惊的是,为了能够对意外的流行病学威胁做出充分反应,及时、准确、并且在国家间具有可比性地获取数据极具挑战性。定量评估短期风险因素导致的死亡负担的最可靠和最可靠的方法是基于估计每周的超额死亡人数。与监测 COVID-19 诊断相关的死亡人数或计算受众多问题(例如检测范围和诊断方法的可比性)影响的发病率或病死率相比,这种方法更可靠。为了应对新出现的数据挑战,已经建立了一个关于每周死亡率的新数据资源。短期死亡率波动(STMF,可在 www.mortality.org 上获得)数据系列是第一个提供开放获取、协调、统一和全面记录的关于每周全因死亡率的国际数据库。STMF 在线可视化工具提供了一个机会,可以通过交互式图形界面快速评估一个或多个国家的每周超额死亡率。

相似文献

1
The short-term mortality fluctuation data series, monitoring mortality shocks across time and space.短期死亡率波动数据序列,监测跨时间和空间的死亡率冲击。
Sci Data. 2021 Sep 6;8(1):235. doi: 10.1038/s41597-021-01019-1.
2
An open-sourced, web-based application to analyze weekly excess mortality based on the Short-term Mortality Fluctuations data series.一个开源的、基于网络的应用程序,用于根据短期死亡率波动数据系列分析每周超额死亡率。
PLoS One. 2021 Feb 5;16(2):e0246663. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246663. eCollection 2021.
3
Comparison of pandemic excess mortality in 2020-2021 across different empirical calculations.2020-2021 年不同经验性计算方法得出的大流行超额死亡率比较。
Environ Res. 2022 Oct;213:113754. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113754. Epub 2022 Jun 24.
4
Doubled mortality rate during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy: quantifying what is not captured by surveillance.意大利 COVID-19 大流行期间的死亡率翻了一番:量化监测未捕捉到的情况。
Public Health. 2021 Jan;190:108-115. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.11.016. Epub 2020 Nov 30.
5
Covid-19, non-Covid-19 and excess mortality rates not comparable across countries.新冠病毒(Covid-19)、非新冠病毒(Non-Covid-19)和超额死亡率在各国之间不可比。
Epidemiol Infect. 2021 Aug 2;149:e176. doi: 10.1017/S0950268821001850.
6
Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a geospatial and statistical analysis in Aden governorate, Yemen.COVID-19 大流行期间的超额死亡率:也门亚丁省的地理空间和统计分析。
BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Mar;6(3). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004564.
7
What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks.计算超额死亡率时的基线应该是什么?新方法表明,我们低估了新冠疫情及此前冬季高峰的影响。
SSM Popul Health. 2022 Jun;18:101118. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2022.101118. Epub 2022 May 6.
8
Identifying the Italian provinces with increased mortality during COVID-19 epidemics using the data made available by the Italian National Institute of Statistics. A methodological challenge.利用意大利国家统计局提供的数据,确定在 COVID-19 疫情期间死亡率上升的意大利省份。一种方法学挑战。
Epidemiol Prev. 2020 Sep-Dec;44(5-6 Suppl 2):260-270. doi: 10.19191/EP20.5-6.S2.126.
9
The demography of COVID-19 deaths database, a gateway to well-documented international data.COVID-19 死亡数据库的人口统计学,通往记录完善的国际数据的门户。
Sci Data. 2022 Mar 22;9(1):93. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01191-y.
10
Classification of weekly provincial overall age- and gender-specific mortality patterns during the COVID-19 epidemics in Italy.意大利 COVID-19 疫情期间每周省级全年龄段和性别特定死亡率模式分类。
Epidemiol Prev. 2020 Sep-Dec;44(5-6 Suppl 2):271-281. doi: 10.19191/EP20.5-6.S2.127.

引用本文的文献

1
Empirical prediction intervals applied to short term mortality forecasts and excess deaths.应用于短期死亡率预测和超额死亡的经验预测区间。
Popul Health Metr. 2024 Dec 11;22(1):34. doi: 10.1186/s12963-024-00355-9.
2
Impact of COVID-19 on total excess mortality and geographic disparities in Europe, 2020-2023: a spatio-temporal analysis.2020 - 2023年新冠疫情对欧洲总超额死亡率及地理差异的影响:一项时空分析
Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2024 Jul 3;44:100996. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100996. eCollection 2024 Sep.
3
Population age structure dependency of the excess mortality P-score.

本文引用的文献

1
Short-term forecasts of expected deaths.预期死亡人数的短期预测。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Apr 13;118(15). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2025324118.
2
An open-sourced, web-based application to analyze weekly excess mortality based on the Short-term Mortality Fluctuations data series.一个开源的、基于网络的应用程序,用于根据短期死亡率波动数据系列分析每周超额死亡率。
PLoS One. 2021 Feb 5;16(2):e0246663. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246663. eCollection 2021.
3
Excess mortality from COVID-19: weekly excess death rates by age and sex for Sweden and its most affected region.
人口年龄结构对超额死亡率 P 评分的依赖性。
Popul Health Metr. 2024 Sep 27;22(1):25. doi: 10.1186/s12963-024-00346-w.
4
Making sense of national and international disparities in excess mortality from the COVID-19 pandemic.解读新冠疫情期间超额死亡率方面的国内和国际差异。
BMJ Glob Health. 2024 Apr 18;9(4):e015737. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015737.
5
Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy and premature mortality in the German federal states in 2020 and 2021.2020 年和 2021 年德国联邦州 COVID-19 大流行对预期寿命和过早死亡率的影响。
PLoS One. 2023 Dec 21;18(12):e0295763. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0295763. eCollection 2023.
6
The unseen toll: excess mortality during covid-19 lockdowns.未被看见的代价:新冠疫情封锁期间的超额死亡率。
Sci Rep. 2023 Oct 31;13(1):18745. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-45934-2.
7
Variation in mortality burden of the COVID-19 pandemic across federal states in Germany.德国各联邦州新冠疫情死亡负担的差异。
Eur J Public Health. 2023 Oct 10;33(5):930-936. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckad110.
8
Global and National Declines in Life Expectancy: An End-of-2021 Assessment.全球及各国预期寿命下降:2021年末评估
Popul Dev Rev. 2022 Mar;48(1):31-50. doi: 10.1111/padr.12477. Epub 2022 Mar 12.
9
The Covid-19 pandemic and the expansion of the mortality gap between the United States and its European peers.Covid-19 大流行与美国及其欧洲同行之间死亡率差距的扩大。
PLoS One. 2023 Mar 29;18(3):e0283153. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283153. eCollection 2023.
10
Reconstruction of the Temporal Correlation Network of All-Cause Mortality Fluctuation across Italian Regions: The Importance of Temperature and Among-Nodes Flux.意大利各地区全因死亡率波动的时间相关网络重建:温度和节点间通量的重要性。
Entropy (Basel). 2022 Dec 23;25(1):21. doi: 10.3390/e25010021.
COVID-19 导致的超额死亡率:瑞典及其受影响最严重地区按年龄和性别划分的每周超额死亡率。
Eur J Public Health. 2021 Feb 1;31(1):17-22. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaa218.
4
Age-specific mortality and immunity patterns of SARS-CoV-2.SARS-CoV-2 的年龄特异性死亡率和免疫模式。
Nature. 2021 Feb;590(7844):140-145. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2918-0. Epub 2020 Nov 2.
5
All-cause excess mortality observed by age group and regions in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in England.英格兰 COVID-19 大流行第一波期间按年龄组和地区观察到的全因超额死亡率。
Euro Surveill. 2020 Jul;25(28). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.28.2001239.
6
COVID-19: a need for real-time monitoring of weekly excess deaths.2019冠状病毒病:需要对每周超额死亡进行实时监测。
Lancet. 2020 May 2;395(10234):e81. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30933-8. Epub 2020 Apr 22.
7
European all-cause excess and influenza-attributable mortality in the 2017/18 season: should the burden of influenza B be reconsidered?2017/18 年度欧洲全因超额死亡和流感相关死亡:是否应重新考虑乙型流感的负担?
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2019 Oct;25(10):1266-1276. doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2019.02.011. Epub 2019 Feb 18.
8
How to estimate mortality trends from grouped vital statistics.如何从分组生命统计数据中估计死亡率趋势。
Int J Epidemiol. 2019 Apr 1;48(2):571-582. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyy183.
9
Comparison of non-parametric methods for ungrouping coarsely aggregated data.非参数方法在不分组粗粒度聚合数据中的比较。
BMC Med Res Methodol. 2016 May 23;16:59. doi: 10.1186/s12874-016-0157-8.
10
Optimization models for degrouping population data.用于分解人口数据的优化模型。
Popul Stud (Camb). 2016 Jul;70(2):259-72. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2016.1158853. Epub 2016 Mar 31.