USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 271 Mast Rd, Durham, NH, USA.
Center for Research On Sustainable Forests, University of Maine, 5755 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME, 04469-5755, USA.
Sci Rep. 2021 Sep 22;11(1):18848. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-98244-w.
Tree size-density dynamics can inform key trends in forest productivity along with opportunities to increase ecosystem resiliency. Here, we employ a novel approach to estimate the relative density (RD, range 0-1) of any given forest based on its current size-density relationship compared to a hypothetical maximum using the coterminous US national forest inventory between 1999 and 2020. The analysis suggests a static forest land area in the US with less tree abundance but greatly increased timber volume and tree biomass. Coupled with these resource trends, an increase in RD was identified with 90% of US forest land now reaching a biologically-relevant threshold of canopy closure and/or self-thinning induced mortality (RD > 0.3), particularly in areas prone to future drought conditions (e.g., West Coast). Notably, the area of high RD stands (RD > 0.6) has quintupled over the past 20 years while the least stocked stands (RD < 0.3) have decreased 3%. The evidence from the coterminous US forest RD distribution suggest opportunities to increase live tree stocking in understocked stands, while using density management to address tree mortality and resilience to disturbances in increasingly dense forests.
树木大小-密度动态可以为森林生产力的主要趋势提供信息,并为提高生态系统的恢复力提供机会。在这里,我们采用了一种新的方法,根据当前的大小-密度关系与假设的最大关系,利用 1999 年至 2020 年期间的美国国家森林清查数据来估计任何给定森林的相对密度(RD,范围为 0-1)。分析表明,美国的森林土地面积保持不变,但树木丰度减少,木材体积和树木生物量大大增加。随着这些资源趋势的发展,我们发现 RD 增加了,90%的美国森林土地现在达到了一个具有生物学意义的冠层闭合和/或自疏诱导死亡率的阈值(RD>0.3),特别是在未来容易发生干旱的地区(如西海岸)。值得注意的是,过去 20 年来,高 RD 林分(RD>0.6)的面积增加了五倍,而储量最少的林分(RD<0.3)减少了 3%。从美国大陆森林 RD 分布的证据来看,有机会在储量不足的林分中增加活立木的储量,同时利用密度管理来解决树木死亡率和对日益密集的森林的干扰的恢复力。