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巴基斯坦的公共卫生支出与健康结果:来自分位数自回归分布滞后模型的证据

Public Health Expenditures and Health Outcomes in Pakistan: Evidence from Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model.

作者信息

Ullah Irfan, Ullah Assad, Ali Sher, Poulova Petra, Akbar Ahsan, Haroon Shah Muhammad, Rehman Alam, Zeeshan Muhammad, Afridi Fakhr E Alam

机构信息

Reading Academy, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, People's Republic of China.

School of Economics, Henan University, Kaifeng, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2021 Sep 16;14:3893-3909. doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S316844. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.2147/RMHP.S316844
PMID:34584469
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8462281/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The provision of healthcare facilities remains high on the manifesto of various political parties in Pakistan and healthcare spending has witnessed a significant surge in the last two decades that is expected to positively influence health outcomes in the country. Therefore, this research aims to explore the effects of healthcare expenditures on the actual health status of the masses in Pakistan for the period 1995Q1 to 2017Q1.

METHODS

We apply the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) approach for estimation purposes. This is the most recent and emerging estimation technique in time series analysis.

RESULTS

Our findings confirm that public healthcare spending significantly impacts health outcomes in Pakistan both in the short-run and long-run. Public healthcare spending improves life expectancy and reduces death rate and infant mortality.

CONCLUSION

The study concludes that public healthcare is the main focus of the current regime. It is noticed that spending on healthcare significantly contributes to the health outcomes in Pakistan. These efforts by the government significantly promote life expectancy and drop down the mortality ratio in the country. Based on these notable facts, the government should allocate sufficient resources towards the latest healthcare technologies and equipment to optimize health outcomes in the country.

摘要

目的

提供医疗保健设施在巴基斯坦各政党的宣言中仍然占据重要地位,并且在过去二十年中医疗保健支出大幅激增,预计这将对该国的健康结果产生积极影响。因此,本研究旨在探讨1995年第一季度至2017年第一季度期间医疗保健支出对巴基斯坦民众实际健康状况的影响。

方法

为了进行估计,我们应用分位数自回归分布滞后(QARDL)方法。这是时间序列分析中最新出现的估计技术。

结果

我们的研究结果证实,公共医疗保健支出在短期和长期内都对巴基斯坦的健康结果产生重大影响。公共医疗保健支出提高了预期寿命,降低了死亡率和婴儿死亡率。

结论

该研究得出结论,公共医疗保健是当前政权的主要关注点。可以注意到,医疗保健支出对巴基斯坦的健康结果有显著贡献。政府的这些努力显著提高了预期寿命,并降低了该国的死亡率。基于这些显著事实,政府应向最新的医疗技术和设备分配足够的资源,以优化该国的健康结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/046700677b27/RMHP-14-3893-g0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/41b3d0615f95/RMHP-14-3893-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/bee87be41a6c/RMHP-14-3893-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/4599faa7b2e9/RMHP-14-3893-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/a1179af5c495/RMHP-14-3893-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/b0a27f7b37fc/RMHP-14-3893-g0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/046700677b27/RMHP-14-3893-g0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/41b3d0615f95/RMHP-14-3893-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/bee87be41a6c/RMHP-14-3893-g0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/4599faa7b2e9/RMHP-14-3893-g0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/a1179af5c495/RMHP-14-3893-g0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/b0a27f7b37fc/RMHP-14-3893-g0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb08/8462281/046700677b27/RMHP-14-3893-g0006.jpg

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