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西班牙多中心新冠肺炎肺炎患者队列中与死亡率相关的特征和风险因素

Characteristics and Risk Factors Associated With Mortality in a Multicenter Spanish Cohort of Patients With COVID-19 Pneumonia.

作者信息

Muñoz-Rodríguez José Ramón, Gómez-Romero Francisco Javier, Pérez-Ortiz José Manuel, López-Juárez Pilar, Santiago Juan Luis, Serrano-Oviedo Leticia, Redondo-Calvo Francisco Javier

机构信息

Translational Research Unit, University General Hospital of Ciudad Real, Servicio de Salud de Castilla-La Mancha (SESCAM), Spain.

School of Medicine at Ciudad Real, University of Castilla La Mancha, Spain.

出版信息

Arch Bronconeumol. 2021 Apr;57:34-41. doi: 10.1016/j.arbres.2021.02.021. Epub 2021 Mar 9.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Spain is one of the countries with the highest number of COVID-19 patients. Unfortunately, few data for regions are available.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to describe the characteristics and independent risk factors associated with COVID-19 mortality in Castilla-La Mancha, Spain.

METHODS

Cohort and multicenter study in all 14 public hospitals of the Castilla-La Mancha Health Service. Baseline characteristics, preexisting comorbidities, symptoms, clinical features and treatments were included. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with death and Kaplan-Meier test to examine survival probability. Statistical significance was considered with  < 0.05 (95% CI). SPSS (version 24.0 for Windows) and R 4.0.2 (R Statistics) software were used.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 12,126 patients sequentially attended between February 11 and May 11, 2020. The mean age of patients was 66.4 years; 5667 (46.7%) were women. Six protective factors against exitus were defined: female sex, anosmia, cough, chloroquine and azithromycin. The risk factors were: age over 50, obesity, cardiac pathology, fever, dyspnea, lung infiltrates, lymphopenia, D-dimer above 1000 ng/mL, and mechanical ventilation requirement. Survival analysis showed higher survival rate in women (75.7%) than men (72.1%). Cumulative survival was 87.5% for non-hospitalized patients, 70.2% for patients admitted to hospital and 61.2% in ICU patients. Additionally, survival probability decreased with increasing age range.

CONCLUSION

Determination of protective or death-promoting factors could be useful to stratify patients by severity criteria and to improve COVID-19 care management.

摘要

引言

西班牙是新冠肺炎患者数量最多的国家之一。不幸的是,关于各地区的数据很少。

目的

本研究旨在描述西班牙卡斯蒂利亚-拉曼恰地区新冠肺炎死亡的特征及独立危险因素。

方法

对卡斯蒂利亚-拉曼恰卫生服务中心的所有14家公立医院进行队列和多中心研究。纳入基线特征、既往合并症、症状、临床特征及治疗情况。采用多变量逻辑回归评估与死亡相关的因素,采用Kaplan-Meier检验分析生存概率。以P < 0.05(95%置信区间)为统计学显著性标准。使用SPSS(Windows版24.0)和R 4.0.2(R统计软件)。

结果

该队列包括2020年2月11日至5月11日期间依次就诊的12126例患者。患者平均年龄为66.4岁;5667例(46.7%)为女性。确定了六个防止死亡的保护因素:女性、嗅觉丧失、咳嗽、氯喹和阿奇霉素。危险因素为:年龄超过50岁、肥胖、心脏疾病、发热、呼吸困难、肺部浸润、淋巴细胞减少症、D-二聚体高于1000 ng/mL以及需要机械通气。生存分析显示女性的生存率(75.7%)高于男性(72.1%)。非住院患者的累积生存率为87.5%;住院患者为70.2%;重症监护病房患者为61.2%。此外,生存概率随年龄范围增加而降低。

结论

确定保护因素或促死亡因素有助于根据严重程度标准对患者进行分层,并改善新冠肺炎的护理管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/db6e/7939995/d30fd39268ac/fx1_lrg.jpg

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