新冠疫情下印度尼西亚、马来西亚和菲律宾的病死率随机动态：后新冠时代的经济影响。
Stochastic Dynamics of the COVID-19 Case-Fatality Ratios in Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines: Economic Implications for the Post-COVID-19 Era.
机构信息
School of International Business and Economics, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou, China.
School of Economics and Academy of Financial Research, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
出版信息
Front Public Health. 2021 Sep 28;9:755047. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.755047. eCollection 2021.
This paper analyses the stochastic dynamics of the COVID-19 Case-Fatality Ratios (CFR) in three developing economies in East Asia: Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines. The sample covers the daily frequency data from April 28, 2020, to June 29, 2021. For this purpose, we utilize two unit root tests, which consider one structural break and two structural breaks. The findings reveal that the CFR follows a unit root process in Indonesia and the Philippines. However, the CFR is stationary in Malaysia. This evidence indicates that the COVID-19 has a permanent effect in Indonesia and the Philippines but temporary in Malaysia. The paper also discusses the potential economic implications of these results for the post-COVID-19 era in the related developing economies.
本文分析了东亚三个发展中经济体（印度尼西亚、马来西亚和菲律宾）中 COVID-19 病死率（CFR）的随机动态。样本涵盖了 2020 年 4 月 28 日至 2021 年 6 月 29 日的每日频率数据。为此，我们利用了两个单位根检验，其中考虑了一个结构断点和两个结构断点。研究结果表明，印度尼西亚和菲律宾的 CFR 遵循单位根过程。然而，马来西亚的 CFR 是稳定的。这一证据表明，COVID-19 在印度尼西亚和菲律宾具有永久性影响，而在马来西亚则具有临时性影响。本文还讨论了这些结果对相关发展中经济体后 COVID-19 时代的潜在经济影响。
Zotero 插件