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全球 1990-2019 年 204 个国家和地区急性淋巴细胞白血病的全球负担及归因风险因素:基于 2019 年全球疾病负担研究的估计。

Global burden and attributable risk factors of acute lymphoblastic leukemia in 204 countries and territories in 1990-2019: Estimation based on Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

机构信息

Department of Hematology, Qilu Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.

Medical Experimental Diagnosis Center, Jinan Central Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.

出版信息

Hematol Oncol. 2022 Feb;40(1):92-104. doi: 10.1002/hon.2936. Epub 2021 Oct 24.

DOI:10.1002/hon.2936
PMID:34664286
Abstract

To provide a foundational guideline for policy-makers to efficiently allocate medical resources in the context of population aging and growth, the latest spatial distribution and temporal trend of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) along with attributable risk factors by sex and age were mapped. Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated according to the relativity between age-standardized rate and calendar year, to quantify temporal trends in morbidity and mortality of ALL. We used applied Spearman rank correlation to estimate the relationship between the EAPC and potential influence factors. The population attributable fraction of potential risk factors for ALL-related disability-adjusted life years were estimated by the comparative risk assessment framework. As a result, we found that new ALL cases increased significantly by 1.29% worldwide, and the age-standardized incidence rate increased by 1.61% annually. The proportion of elder patients sharply increased, especially within the higher socio-demographic index (SDI) region. Smoking and high body mass index remained the predominant risk factors for ALL-related mortality. Notably, the contribution of high body mass index presented an increasing trend. In conclusion, the global burden of ALL has steadily increased, especially in Middle SDI region. Health measures and new drugs should be taken into consideration to improve the management and treatment of elders with ALL due to an increasing proportion in the higher SDI region. For Low SDI areas, attention should be paid to the environmental problems caused by industrial development.

摘要

为了在人口老龄化和增长的背景下为政策制定者提供有效分配医疗资源的基础指导方针,我们绘制了急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL)最新的空间分布和时间趋势,以及按性别和年龄划分的可归因风险因素。基于 2019 年全球疾病负担研究,我们根据年龄标准化率与日历年之间的相关性计算了估计年度百分比变化(EAPC),以量化 ALL 发病率和死亡率的时间趋势。我们使用应用 Spearman 秩相关来估计 EAPC 与潜在影响因素之间的关系。使用比较风险评估框架估计了 ALL 相关残疾调整生命年的潜在风险因素的人群归因分数。结果发现,全球新 ALL 病例显著增加了 1.29%,年龄标准化发病率每年增加 1.61%。老年患者的比例急剧上升,尤其是在较高社会人口指数(SDI)地区。吸烟和高身体质量指数仍然是 ALL 相关死亡率的主要风险因素。值得注意的是,高身体质量指数的贡献呈现出上升趋势。总之,ALL 的全球负担稳步增加,尤其是在中 SDI 地区。由于较高 SDI 地区中老年人比例增加,应考虑采取健康措施和新药来改善 ALL 老年患者的管理和治疗。对于低 SDI 地区,应注意工业发展带来的环境问题。

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