Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, Silver Spring, Maryland, United States.
School of Industrial Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2022 Sep;43(9):1162-1170. doi: 10.1017/ice.2021.361. Epub 2021 Oct 22.
We analyzed the efficacy, cost, and cost-effectiveness of predictive decision-support systems based on surveillance interventions to reduce the spread of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE).
We developed a computational model that included patient movement between acute-care hospitals (ACHs), long-term care facilities (LTCFs), and communities to simulate the transmission and epidemiology of CRE. A comparative cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted on several surveillance strategies to detect asymptomatic CRE colonization, which included screening in ICUs at select or all hospitals, a statewide registry, or a combination of hospital screening and a statewide registry.
We investigated 51 ACHs, 222 LTCFs, and skilled nursing facilities, and 464 ZIP codes in the state of Maryland.
The model was informed using 2013-2016 patient-mix data from the Maryland Health Services Cost Review Commission. This model included all patients that were admitted to an ACH.
On average, the implementation of a statewide CRE registry reduced annual CRE infections by 6.3% (18.8 cases). Policies of screening in select or all ICUs without a statewide registry had no significant impact on the incidence of CRE infections. Predictive algorithms, which identified any high-risk patient, reduced colonization incidence by an average of 1.2% (3.7 cases) without a registry and 7.0% (20.9 cases) with a registry. Implementation of the registry was estimated to save $572,000 statewide in averted infections per year.
Although hospital-level surveillance provided minimal reductions in CRE infections, regional coordination with a statewide registry of CRE patients reduced infections and was cost-effective.
我们分析了基于监测干预措施的预测决策支持系统在减少碳青霉烯类耐药肠杆菌科(CRE)传播方面的疗效、成本和成本效益。
我们开发了一个计算模型,该模型纳入了急性护理医院(ACH)、长期护理机构(LTCF)和社区之间的患者流动,以模拟 CRE 的传播和流行病学。我们对几种监测策略进行了比较成本效益分析,以检测无症状 CRE 定植,包括在选定或所有医院的 ICU 进行筛查、全州登记册或医院筛查和全州登记册的组合。
我们调查了马里兰州的 51 家 ACH、222 家 LTCF 和熟练护理机构以及 464 个邮政编码。
该模型使用马里兰州卫生服务成本审查委员会 2013-2016 年的患者构成数据进行了信息提供。该模型纳入了所有入住 ACH 的患者。
平均而言,全州 CRE 登记处的实施使每年 CRE 感染减少了 6.3%(18.8 例)。在没有全州登记册的情况下,在选定或所有 ICU 进行筛查的政策对 CRE 感染的发生率没有显著影响。预测算法,即识别任何高风险患者,在没有登记册的情况下平均降低定植发生率 1.2%(3.7 例),在有登记册的情况下降低 7.0%(20.9 例)。实施登记册估计每年可在全州范围内节省 57.2 万美元的感染预防费用。
虽然医院层面的监测对 CRE 感染的减少作用不大,但与全州 CRE 患者登记册的区域协调可减少感染并具有成本效益。