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发推二十条:对英国两个城市 20 英里/小时限速的兴趣、公众情绪和意见分析。

Tweeting about twenty: an analysis of interest, public sentiments and opinion about 20mph speed restrictions in two UK cities.

机构信息

School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.

Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, Norfolk, UK.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2021 Nov 5;21(1):2016. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-12084-x.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Twenty miles per hour (20mph) speed limits (equivalent to roughly 30kmh) have become part of public health policies to reduce urban road collisions and casualties, especially in Western countries. Public opinion plays a crucial role in opposition to and acceptance of policies that are advocated for improving public health. Twenty miles per hour speed limit policies were implemented in Edinburgh and Belfast from 2016 to 2018. In this paper, we extract public opinion and sentiments expressed about the new 20mph speed limits in those cities using publicly available Twitter data.

METHODS

We analysed public sentiments from Twitter data and classified the public comments in plain English into the categories 'positive', 'neutral', and 'negative'. We also explored the frequency and sources of the tweets.

RESULTS

The total volume of tweets was higher for Edinburgh than for Belfast, but the volume of tweets followed a similar pattern, peaking around 2016, which is when the schemes were implemented. Overall, the tone of the tweets was positive or neutral towards the implementation of the speed limit policies. This finding was surprising as there is a perception among policymakers that there would have been public backlash against these sorts of policy changes. The commonly used hashtags focused largely on road safety and other potential benefits, for example to air pollution.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, public attitudes towards the policies were positive, thus policymakers should be less anxious about potential public backlash when considering the scale-up of 20mph speed restrictions.

摘要

背景

二十英里每小时(20mph)的限速(相当于大约 30 公里每小时)已成为减少城市道路碰撞和伤亡的公共卫生政策的一部分,尤其是在西方国家。公众意见在反对和接受旨在改善公共健康的政策方面起着至关重要的作用。20mph 的限速政策已于 2016 年至 2018 年在爱丁堡和贝尔法斯特实施。在本文中,我们使用公开的 Twitter 数据提取了公众对这些城市新的 20mph 限速的意见和情绪。

方法

我们分析了来自 Twitter 数据的公众情绪,并将公众评论用简单英语分类为“积极”、“中立”和“消极”。我们还探索了推文的频率和来源。

结果

爱丁堡的推文总量高于贝尔法斯特,但推文量遵循相似的模式,在 2016 年左右达到峰值,这正是这些计划实施的时候。总体而言,推文的基调对限速政策的实施是积极或中立的。这一发现令人惊讶,因为政策制定者认为公众会对这类政策变化产生强烈反对。常用的标签主要集中在道路安全和其他潜在的好处上,例如空气污染。

结论

总体而言,公众对这些政策的态度是积极的,因此政策制定者在考虑扩大 20mph 限速范围时,不应过于担心公众可能的强烈反对。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0c03/8571856/0cab963e9242/12889_2021_12084_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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