Center for Animal Disease Modeling and Surveillance (CADMS), Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Department of Population Health and Reproduction, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Acta Trop. 2022 Feb;226:106225. doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2021.106225. Epub 2021 Nov 7.
Emerging infectious diseases (EIDs), especially those with zoonotic potential, are a growing threat to global health, economy, and safety. The influence of global warming and geoclimatic variations on zoonotic disease epidemiology is evident by alterations in the host, vector, and pathogen dynamics and their interactions. The objective of this article is to review the current literature on the observed impacts of climate change on zoonoses and discuss future trends. We evaluated several climate models to assess the projections of various zoonoses driven by the predicted climate variations. Many climate projections revealed potential geographical expansion and the severity of vector-borne, waterborne, foodborne, rodent-borne, and airborne zoonoses. However, there are still some knowledge gaps, and further research needs to be conducted to fully understand the magnitude and consequences of some of these changes. Certainly, by understanding the impact of climate change on zoonosis emergence and distribution, we could better plan for climate mitigation and climate adaptation strategies.
新发传染病（EIDs），尤其是具有动物源潜力的传染病，对全球健康、经济和安全构成日益严重的威胁。全球变暖及地理气候变异对人畜共患病流行病学的影响，表现在宿主、媒介和病原体动态及其相互作用的改变上。本文的目的是回顾关于气候变化对人畜共患病影响的现有文献，并讨论未来的趋势。我们评估了几种气候模型，以评估由预测的气候变化驱动的各种人畜共患病的预测。许多气候预测显示，虫媒、水媒、食源、啮齿动物传播和空气传播的人畜共患病可能会在地理上扩大范围，并加重其严重程度。然而，目前仍存在一些知识空白，需要进一步开展研究，以充分了解其中一些变化的程度和后果。当然，通过了解气候变化对人畜共患病出现和分布的影响，我们可以更好地计划应对气候变化的缓解和适应策略。
