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血管活性-正性肌力评分预测小儿感染性休克死亡率的有效性:一项回顾性队列研究。

Validation of the vasoactive-inotropic score in predicting pediatric septic shock mortality: A retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Pudjiadi Antonius Hocky, Pramesti Dwi Lestari, Pardede Sudung O, Djer Mulyadi M, Rohsiswatmo Rinawati, Kaswandani Nastiti

机构信息

Department of Child-Health, Faculty of Medicine, Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia.

出版信息

Int J Crit Illn Inj Sci. 2021 Jul-Sep;11(3):117-122. doi: 10.4103/IJCIIS.IJCIIS_98_20. Epub 2021 Sep 25.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Mortality in pediatric septic shock remains very high. Vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS) is widely used to predict prognosis in patients with heart disease. It is a simple method that was initially used as a predictor of morbidity and mortality in postoperative patients with congenital heart diseases. Previous reports showed that high VIS score was associated with high mortality in pediatric sepsis. However, its discriminative value remains unclear. We aim to explore the discriminative value of VIS in predicting mortality in pediatric septic shock patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on medical records of septic shock patients who received care in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). We screened medical records of pediatric patients which were diagnosed with septic shock and admitted to the PICU and received vasoactive/inotropic score for more than 8 h. Other supporting examination results were recorded, such as organ function evaluation for calculation of Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction-2 (PELOD-2) score. The outcome of patients was recorded. The receiver operating curve was constructed to calculate the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity of each cutoff point.

RESULTS

We obtained the optimum cutoff point of VIS > 11 with 78.87% sensitivity and 72.22% specificity. AUC positive was 0.779 ( < 0.001); predictive value and negative predictive value were 91.80% and 46.43%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

VIS > 11 has a good ability to predict mortality in children with septic shock.

摘要

引言

小儿感染性休克的死亡率仍然很高。血管活性-正性肌力评分(VIS)被广泛用于预测心脏病患者的预后。它是一种简单的方法,最初用作先天性心脏病术后患者发病和死亡的预测指标。先前的报告显示,小儿脓毒症中高VIS评分与高死亡率相关。然而,其判别价值仍不明确。我们旨在探讨VIS在预测小儿感染性休克患者死亡率方面的判别价值。

方法

我们对在儿科重症监护病房(PICU)接受治疗的感染性休克患者的病历进行了一项回顾性队列研究。我们筛选了被诊断为感染性休克并入住PICU且接受血管活性/正性肌力评分超过8小时的儿科患者的病历。记录其他辅助检查结果,如用于计算小儿逻辑器官功能障碍-2(PELOD-2)评分的器官功能评估。记录患者的结局。构建受试者工作特征曲线以计算每个切点的曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性和特异性。

结果

我们获得了VIS>11的最佳切点,敏感性为78.87%,特异性为72.22%。AUC阳性为0.779(<0.001);预测值和阴性预测值分别为91.80%和46.43%。

结论

VIS>11对预测小儿感染性休克患者的死亡率具有良好的能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/12b3/8547676/4b5c4d40e176/IJCIIS-11-117-g001.jpg

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